Fri, Jan 20, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 76% of the time.
69%
17%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:19 | 0.04 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:52 | 0.08 | 38.1% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.03 | 44.0% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.07 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.19 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.15 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.20 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.20 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:25 | 0.27 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.07 | 23.8% | +35.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.23 | 41.5% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.04 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.26 | 33.5% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.11 | 10.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.04 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:54 | 0.39 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 4.07 | +1.1 | 64:22 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 35:24 | 0.10 | 53.0% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 29:51 | 0.06 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:53 | 0.34 | 61.6% | +84.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:36 | 0.00 | 78.3% | +39.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22:14 | 0.34 | 79.1% | +63.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:04 | 0.74 | 51.8% | +45.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:23 | 1.44 | 78.3% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.01 | 21.0% | +39.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.28 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.08 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:29 | 0.14 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.02 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.22 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.08 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:31 | 0.10 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:14 | 0.12 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:29 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:56 | 0.00 | 79.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.39 | +0.4 | 64:34 |