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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 21, 2017·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Colorado Avalanche 2, San Jose Sharks 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 56% of the time.

SJS winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Nieto, saved by Jones
  3. P1 0:35Shot by Goloubef, saved by Jones
  4. P1 1:11Shot by Boedker, saved by Martin
  5. P1 1:36Shot by Zadorov, saved by Jones
  6. P1 2:31Shot by Burns, saved by Martin
  7. P1 3:22Shot by Braun, saved by Martin
  8. P1 4:16Beauchemin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Ward, Schlemko, Dillon, Tierney, Labanc · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Wiercioch, Martinsen

  9. P1 5:36Goal by Ward (Thornton, Vlasic)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Ward, Pavelski, Vlasic, Boedker · COL Comeau, Wiercioch, Nieto, Zadorov

  10. P1 6:12Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  11. P1 7:36Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  12. P1 7:42Shot by Goloubef, saved by Jones
  13. P1 11:19Shot by Wingels, saved by Martin
  14. P1 11:41Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jones
  15. P1 12:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  16. P1 14:05Shot by Soderberg, saved by Jones
  17. P1 15:00Shot by Carpenter, saved by Martin
  18. P1 15:17Shot by Colborne, saved by Jones
  19. P1 15:22Shot by Goloubef, saved by Jones
  20. P1 15:52Braun: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Braun, Dillon, Labanc · COL Wiercioch, Gelinas, Grigorenko, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  21. P1 15:49Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jones
  22. P1 15:52Duchene: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Braun, Dillon, Labanc · COL Wiercioch, Gelinas, Grigorenko, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  23. P1 17:24Shot by Marleau, saved by Martin4v4
  24. P1 18:00Shot by Tierney, saved by Martin
  25. P1 18:05Shot by Vlasic, saved by Martin
  26. P1 18:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  30. P2 3:26Shot by Goloubef, saved by Jones
  31. P2 3:56Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  32. P2 4:40Shot by Labanc, saved by Martin
  33. P2 5:43Shot by Schlemko, saved by Martin
  34. P2 6:24Landeskog: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun · COL Beauchemin, Goloubef, Duchene, Nieto, Landeskog

  35. P2 6:29Shot by Pavelski, saved by Martin5v4
  36. P2 10:30Goal by Grigorenko (MacKinnon, Goloubef)+25 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Martin, Burns, Pavelski · COL Goloubef, Grigorenko, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  37. P2 11:09Shot by Goloubef, saved by Jones
  38. P2 12:13Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  39. P2 12:43Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  40. P2 13:27Shot by Mitchell, saved by Jones
  41. P2 13:40Shot by Burns, saved by Martin
  42. P2 13:53Shot by Pavelski, saved by Martin
  43. P2 15:01Goal by Karlsson (Carpenter)+27 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Braun, Wingels, Carpenter, Karlsson · COL Beauchemin, Goloubef, Duchene, Nieto, Landeskog

  44. P2 15:32Shot by Braun, saved by Martin
  45. P2 15:44Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  46. P2 15:58Shot by Boedker, saved by Martin
  47. P2 17:05Shot by Marleau, saved by Martin
  48. P2 17:28Shot by Ward, saved by Martin
  49. P2 17:38Shot by Labanc, saved by Martin
  50. P2 18:18Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Jones
  51. P2 18:52Landeskog: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Martin, Burns, Wingels, Carpenter, Karlsson · COL Beauchemin, Wiercioch, Duchene, Nieto, Landeskog

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:57Shot by Burns, saved by Martin
  55. P3 1:03Shot by Burns, saved by Martin
  56. P3 3:39Shot by Colborne, saved by Jones
  57. P3 3:58Shot by Zadorov, saved by Jones
  58. P3 4:21Shot by Gelinas, saved by Jones
  59. P3 4:48Shot by Burns, saved by Martin
  60. P3 8:34Shot by Nieto, saved by Jones
  61. P3 10:24Goal by Beauchemin, unassisted+36 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun · COL Beauchemin, Goloubef, Grigorenko, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  62. P3 10:58Shot by Schlemko, saved by Martin
  63. P3 11:42Shot by Comeau, saved by Jones
  64. P3 12:33Shot by Goloubef, saved by Jones
  65. P3 13:25Shot by Carpenter, saved by Martin
  66. P3 13:42Shot by Thornton, saved by Martin
  67. P3 14:18Shot by Duchene, saved by Jones
  68. P3 16:49Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  69. P3 17:09Shot by Comeau, saved by Jones
  70. P3 19:02Shot by Braun, saved by Martin
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 0:56Shot by Couture, saved by Martin3v3
  74. OT 1:16Shot by Couture, saved by Martin3v3
  75. OT 1:18Goal by Schlemko (Couture, Labanc)3v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Schlemko, Couture, Labanc · COL Duchene, Landeskog, Zadorov

  76. OT 1:18Period end
  77. OT 1:18Final