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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 26, 2017·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Buffalo Sabres 3, Dallas Stars 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 66% of the time.

DAL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Bogosian, saved by Niemi
  3. P1 2:03Shot by Franson, saved by Niemi
  4. P1 2:16Shot by Johns, saved by Nilsson
  5. P1 3:44Goal by Kane, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Roussel, Seguin, Klingberg, Lindell · BUF Moulson, Kane, Kulikov, Fedun, Girgensons

  6. P1 4:38Shot by Ritchie, saved by Nilsson
  7. P1 4:42Shot by Benn, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 5:10Shot by Spezza, saved by Nilsson
  9. P1 5:50Shot by Spezza, saved by Nilsson
  10. P1 6:12Girgensons: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Sharp, Korpikoski, Shore, Honka · BUF Gionta, Falk, Kane, Fedun, Girgensons

  11. P1 7:55Shot by Sharp, saved by Nilsson5v4
  12. P1 8:05Klingberg: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Lindell · BUF Kulikov, Foligno, Ristolainen, Eichel

  13. P1 8:14Shot by Eakin, saved by Nilsson4v5
  14. P1 9:13Shot by Johns, saved by Nilsson4v5
  15. P1 9:30Goal by Moulson (Kane, Gionta)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Korpikoski, Benn, Benn, Johns · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Franson, Ennis, Kane

  16. P1 9:53Shot by Bogosian, saved by Niemi
  17. P1 10:11Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Nilsson
  18. P1 10:34Shot by Sharp, saved by Nilsson
  19. P1 10:59Goal by Sharp (Klingberg, Korpikoski)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Sharp, Korpikoski, Cracknell, Benn, Klingberg · BUF Gionta, Franson, O'Reilly, Bogosian, Kane

  20. P1 11:28Shot by Johns, saved by Nilsson
  21. P1 14:28Kulikov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Benn, Eakin, Klingberg · BUF Okposo, Ennis, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Ristolainen

  22. P1 14:47Shot by Benn, saved by Nilsson5v4
  23. P1 15:34Shot by Seguin, saved by Nilsson5v4
  24. P1 15:52Shot by Benn, saved by Nilsson5v4
  25. P1 16:24Shot by Shore, saved by Nilsson5v4
  26. P1 19:18Kane: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Roussel, Seguin, Honka · BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Kane, Kulikov, Ristolainen

  27. P1 0:00Shot by Spezza, saved by Nilsson5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:42Goal by Benn (Spezza, Eaves)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · BUF O'Reilly, Kulikov, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  31. P2 0:49Shot by Sharp, saved by Nilsson
  32. P2 1:35Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P2 2:39Shot by Seguin, saved by Nilsson
  34. P2 2:40Shot by Spezza, saved by Nilsson
  35. P2 5:21Shot by Johns, saved by Nilsson
  36. P2 5:48Shot by Eakin, saved by Nilsson
  37. P2 6:05Shot by Benn, saved by Nilsson
  38. P2 6:21Shot by Eaves, saved by Nilsson
  39. P2 7:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 8:12Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehtonen
  41. P2 8:38Moulson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Roussel, Seguin, Honka · BUF Moulson, Franson, Bogosian, Kane, Girgensons

  42. P2 9:53Shot by Shore, saved by Nilsson5v4
  43. P2 11:01Shot by Ritchie, saved by Nilsson
  44. P2 11:16Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehtonen
  45. P2 12:24Shot by Honka, saved by Nilsson
  46. P2 13:16Goal by Sharp (Shore)+26 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Sharp, Korpikoski, Benn, Klingberg, Shore · BUF O'Reilly, Okposo, Falk, Ennis, Fedun

  47. P2 14:31Shot by Benn, saved by Nilsson
  48. P2 15:05Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P2 15:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Nilsson
  50. P2 15:23Shot by Spezza, saved by Nilsson
  51. P2 15:24Goal by Seguin, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Roussel, Seguin, Honka · BUF Gionta, Franson, Bogosian, Kane, Girgensons

  52. P2 17:08Shot by Benn, saved by Nilsson
  53. P2 18:55Goal by Kane, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Sharp, Korpikoski, Klingberg, Lindell, Shore · BUF Gionta, Falk, Kane, Fedun, Girgensons

  54. P2 19:04Shot by Johns, saved by Nilsson
  55. P2 19:13Shot by Ritchie, saved by Nilsson
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:12Shot by Klingberg, saved by Nilsson
  59. P3 3:03Shot by Eichel, saved by Lehtonen
  60. P3 3:18Shot by Franson, saved by Lehtonen
  61. P3 3:20Shot by Foligno, saved by Lehtonen
  62. P3 5:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehtonen
  63. P3 6:20Sharp: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Sharp, Korpikoski, Benn, Johns, Shore · BUF Gionta, Franson, Okposo, Kane, Kulikov, Girgensons

  64. P3 6:24Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  65. P3 9:02Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P3 9:08Shot by Carrier, saved by Lehtonen
  67. P3 9:20Shot by Carrier, saved by Lehtonen
  68. P3 9:24Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehtonen
  69. P3 10:07Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehtonen
  70. P3 10:28Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lehtonen
  71. P3 10:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehtonen
  72. P3 11:06Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lehtonen
  73. P3 17:33Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehtonen
  74. P3 17:42Bogosian: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Korpikoski, Benn, Johns, Seguin · BUF Gionta, Franson, Bogosian, Kane, Girgensons

  75. P3 18:00Shot by Eaves, saved by Nilsson5v4
  76. P3 19:33Shot by Kane, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  77. P3 19:52Shot by Bogosian, saved by Lehtonen5v6
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final