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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 31, 2017·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Ottawa Senators 5, Florida Panthers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 62% of the time.

FLA winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Marchessault, saved by Condon
  3. P1 1:12Shot by Brassard, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 1:25Shot by Marchessault, saved by Condon
  5. P1 2:23Shot by Matheson, saved by Condon
  6. P1 2:24Goal by Matheson (Petrovic, Bjugstad)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, McKegg, Bjugstad, Matheson · OTT Ryan, Turris, Wideman, Dzingel, Claesson

  7. P1 2:51Shot by Neil, saved by Luongo
  8. P1 2:35Shot by Kelly, saved by Luongo
  9. P1 2:57Shot by Ceci, saved by Luongo
  10. P1 4:59Goal by Dzingel (Turris)+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, Demers, Bjugstad, McCann · OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel

  11. P1 5:22Goal by Pysyk (MacKenzie, Sgarbossa)+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Pysyk, Sgarbossa, Marchessault, Ekblad · OTT Brassard, Smith, Wideman, Stone, Claesson

  12. P1 6:02Shot by Thornton, saved by Condon
  13. P1 6:02Ceci: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, Sceviour, McKegg, Petrovic, Matheson · OTT Neil, Kelly, Phaneuf, Pageau, Ceci

  14. P1 7:02Shot by Smith, saved by Condon5v4
  15. P1 7:02Marchessault: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Yandle, Smith, Trocheck, Marchessault · OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Pyatt, Claesson

  16. P1 7:02Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Yandle, Smith, Trocheck, Marchessault · OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Pyatt, Claesson

  17. P1 7:31Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Condon5v4
  18. P1 8:54Goal by Dzingel (Methot, Ryan)+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Sceviour, McKegg, Petrovic, Matheson · OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel

  19. P1 10:25Jagr: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Bjugstad, Matheson, Ekblad, McCann · OTT Neil, Kelly, Methot, Karlsson, Wingels

  20. P1 10:53Shot by Hoffman, saved by Luongo4v5
  21. P1 11:10Shot by Turris, saved by Luongo4v5
  22. P1 11:11Matheson: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Smith, Pysyk, Trocheck, Matheson · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  23. P1 11:11Stone: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Smith, Pysyk, Trocheck, Matheson · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  24. P1 12:22Shot by Smith, saved by Condon4v5
  25. P1 12:47Shot by Demers, saved by Condon
  26. P1 12:57Shot by Demers, saved by Condon
  27. P1 13:14Shot by Sceviour, saved by Condon
  28. P1 14:43Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luongo
  29. P1 15:27Shot by Demers, saved by Condon
  30. P1 19:01Hoffman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, Demers, Bjugstad, Trocheck · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci

  31. P1 19:18Shot by Pageau, saved by Luongo5v4
  32. P1 19:19Bjugstad: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Bjugstad, Sgarbossa, Ekblad, McCann · OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Pageau, Ceci

  33. P1 19:29Goal by Wideman (Karlsson, Stone)4v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Sgarbossa, Matheson, Ekblad · OTT Turris, Karlsson, Wideman, Stone

  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:45Shot by Trocheck, saved by Condon4v4
  37. P2 0:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luongo4v4
  38. P2 2:17Shot by Pyatt, saved by Luongo
  39. P2 2:19Goal by Karlsson (Smith, Pyatt)+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Petrovic, Marchessault, Matheson, McCann · OTT Methot, Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, Pageau

  40. P2 2:37Goal by Sceviour (Demers, McKegg)+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Thornton, Yandle, Sceviour, Demers, McKegg · OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel

  41. P2 6:14Sceviour: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, Yandle, Sceviour, Demers, Sgarbossa · OTT Turris, Stone, Dzingel, Claesson, Ceci

  42. P2 6:21Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Luongo4v5
  43. P2 6:52Shot by Hoffman, saved by Luongo4v5
  44. P2 7:20Shot by Hoffman, saved by Luongo4v5
  45. P2 7:56Shot by Matheson, saved by Condon4v5
  46. P2 8:58Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Condon
  47. P2 9:30Shot by Pageau, saved by Luongo
  48. P2 9:32Shot by Pyatt, saved by Luongo
  49. P2 9:35Ekblad: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, McKegg, Bjugstad, Pysyk, Ekblad · OTT Methot, Pyatt, Smith, Pageau, Ceci

  50. P2 9:35Pageau: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Jagr, McKegg, Bjugstad, Pysyk, Ekblad · OTT Methot, Pyatt, Smith, Pageau, Ceci

  51. P2 9:49Shot by Matheson, saved by Condon4v4
  52. P2 9:53Goal by Matheson (Sgarbossa)4v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Petrovic, Sgarbossa, Marchessault, Matheson · OTT Turris, Karlsson, Stone, Ceci

  53. P2 10:14Phaneuf: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Demers, Smith, Trocheck · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman

  54. P2 10:14Yandle: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Demers, Smith, Trocheck · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman

  55. P2 10:55Shot by Matheson, saved by Condon4v4
  56. P2 11:05Shot by Ceci, saved by Luongo4v4
  57. P2 11:43Shot by Wideman, saved by Luongo
  58. P2 12:03Thornton: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Jokinen, Demers, Pysyk, Sgarbossa, Ekblad · OTT Neil, Kelly, Karlsson, Wingels, Claesson

  59. P2 12:41Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luongo4v5
  60. P2 13:24Shot by Ceci, saved by Luongo4v5
  61. P2 14:10Neil: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, Jokinen, Sceviour, Pysyk, Ekblad · OTT Methot, Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Dzingel, Ceci

  62. P2 15:38Shot by McCann, saved by Condon5v4
  63. P2 15:54Shot by McCann, saved by Condon5v4
  64. P2 16:13Shot by Petrovic, saved by Condon
  65. P2 17:47Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luongo
  66. P2 18:24Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Condon
  67. P2 18:31Shot by Pysyk, saved by Condon
  68. P2 19:31Shot by Trocheck, saved by Condon
  69. P2 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Period start
  71. P3 1:43Shot by Wideman, saved by Luongo
  72. P3 3:34Shot by Stone, saved by Luongo
  73. P3 5:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luongo
  74. P3 7:23Shot by Stone, saved by Luongo
  75. P3 7:36Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luongo
  76. P3 8:02Shot by Sgarbossa, saved by Condon
  77. P3 8:53Shot by Pysyk, saved by Condon
  78. P3 9:39Shot by Kelly, saved by Luongo
  79. P3 10:10Shot by Pageau, saved by Luongo
  80. P3 10:35Shot by Hoffman, saved by Luongo
  81. P3 11:07Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Luongo
  82. P3 11:34Shot by Wideman, saved by Luongo
  83. P3 12:16Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luongo
  84. P3 12:47Shot by Matheson, saved by Condon
  85. P3 13:57Goal by Marchessault, unassisted+40 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Yandle, Demers, Sgarbossa, Marchessault · OTT Methot, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Stone

  86. P3 14:42Shot by Jagr, saved by Condon
  87. P3 14:51Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Condon
  88. P3 15:44Shot by Wideman, saved by Luongo
  89. P3 18:17Shot by Marchessault, saved by Condon
  90. P3 18:35Shot by Dzingel, saved by Luongo
  91. P3 18:44Shot by Stone, saved by Luongo5v6
  92. P3 19:00Shot by Ryan, saved by Luongo5v6
  93. P3 19:25Goal by Demers, unassisted5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Yandle, Demers, Smith, Trocheck · OTT Turris, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  94. P3 19:45Shot by Claesson, saved by Luongo5v6
  95. P3 19:47Goal by Brassard (Ryan, Claesson)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Petrovic, Bjugstad, Pysyk, Sgarbossa · OTT Ryan, Brassard, Turris, Wideman, Dzingel, Claesson

  96. P3 0:00Period end
  97. P3 0:00Final