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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 2, 2017·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, St. Louis Blues 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

STL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Perron, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Parayko, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:42Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Allen
  5. P1 4:26Shot by Brown, saved by Allen
  6. P1 6:08Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Allen
  7. P1 8:03Shot by Perron, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 8:35Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 9:33Shot by Fabbri, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 10:19Shot by Steen, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 10:49Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 12:23Shot by Fabbri, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 14:11Shot by Hyman, saved by Allen
  14. P1 14:22Goal by Marner (Bozak, van Riemsdyk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: STL Berglund, Edmundson, Yakupov, Parayko, Fabbri · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marincin, Marner

  15. P1 14:29Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 15:52Shot by Carrick, saved by Allen
  17. P1 16:34Shot by Bozak, saved by Allen
  18. P1 16:44Shot by Marincin, saved by Allen
  19. P1 17:45Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 17:58Goal by Steen (Shattenkirk, Stastny)+16 pts WP

    On ice: STL Steen, Stastny, Shattenkirk, Perron, Gunnarsson · TOR Martin, Smith, Rielly, Soshnikov, Zaitsev

  21. P1 18:19Lehtera: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Carrick, Nylander

  22. P1 18:45Shot by Kadri, saved by Allen4v5
  23. P1 18:47Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Allen4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen
  27. P2 0:38Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Allen
  28. P2 1:03Bouwmeester: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Stastny, Perron, Pietrangelo · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Brown, Matthews

  29. P2 2:01Shot by Stastny, saved by Andersen4v5
  30. P2 2:07Shot by Schwartz, saved by Andersen4v5
  31. P2 3:03Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen4v5
  32. P2 4:08Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 6:27Goal by Stastny (Steen, Pietrangelo)+23 pts WP

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Stastny, Perron, Pietrangelo · TOR Polak, Marincin, Hyman, Brown, Matthews

  34. P2 7:02Goal by Tarasenko (Lehtera, Parayko)+12 pts WP

    On ice: STL Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Edmundson, Parayko · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Zaitsev

  35. P2 7:53Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Allen
  36. P2 8:08Shot by Bozak, saved by Allen
  37. P2 8:28Shot by Marner, saved by Allen
  38. P2 8:43Shot by Marincin, saved by Allen
  39. P2 9:08Shot by Perron, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 9:49Kadri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Carrick, Nylander, Zaitsev

  41. P2 10:39Shot by Berglund, saved by Andersen5v4
  42. P2 11:02Goal by Parayko (Pietrangelo, Fabbri)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: STL Stastny, Perron, Pietrangelo, Parayko, Fabbri · TOR Komarov, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev

  43. P2 11:56Marner: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: STL Berglund, Pietrangelo, Edmundson, Yakupov, Barbashev · TOR Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Carrick, Marner

  44. P2 17:21Shot by Fabbri, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 18:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:07Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Andersen
  49. P3 1:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  50. P3 1:18Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 1:19Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 2:41Shot by Upshall, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 2:57Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 3:38Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Allen
  55. P3 4:03Shot by Parayko, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 5:17Shot by Upshall, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 5:20Shot by Upshall, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 7:27Berglund: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Berglund, Shattenkirk, Gunnarsson, Yakupov, Fabbri · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Brown, Matthews

  59. P3 7:35Shot by Marner, saved by Allen4v5
  60. P3 9:00Shot by Gardiner, saved by Allen4v5
  61. P3 12:28Goal by Stastny (Parayko, Edmundson)0 pts WP

    On ice: STL Steen, Stastny, Perron, Edmundson, Parayko · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Carrick, Nylander

  62. P3 15:25Shot by Kadri, saved by Allen
  63. P3 15:23Shot by Kadri, saved by Allen
  64. P3 16:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen
  65. P3 16:52Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Allen
  66. P3 17:09Shot by Yakupov, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 18:01Shot by Barbashev, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 19:20Tarasenko: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Shattenkirk, Gunnarsson, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz · TOR Gardiner, Martin, Smith, Carrick, Soshnikov

  69. P3 19:20Soshnikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Shattenkirk, Gunnarsson, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz · TOR Gardiner, Martin, Smith, Carrick, Soshnikov

  70. P3 19:54Shot by Bozak, saved by Allen4v4
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final