Thu, Feb 2, 2017·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Arizona Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 314 | 16 | 06 | 426 |
| ARI | 06 | 314 | 07 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:44CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Duncan Keith, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–0
- P1 9:56CHIRyan HartmanAssists: Duncan Keith, Andrew Desjardins · Slap, 0.05 xG2–0
- P1 14:15CHIMarian HossaPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.25 xG3–0
- P2 1:36ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Radim Vrbata, Michael Stone · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–1
- P2 5:24CHIArtemi PanarinGWGAssists: Artem Anisimov, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.06 xG4–1
- P2 14:24ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Shane Doan, Brendan Perlini · Tip-in, 0.13 xG4–2
- P2 15:51ARIBrendan PerliniAssists: Christian Dvorak, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–3
Penalties (16)
- P1 8:29ARIAlex Goligoski: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:08ARIMichael Stone: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 16:43CHIAndrew Desjardins: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:43ARILuke Schenn: Instigator2 min
- P1 16:43ARILuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:43ARILuke Schenn: Misconduct10 min
- P1 16:43CHIAndrew Desjardins: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 0:10CHIJonathan Toews: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:19CHIArtem Anisimov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 2:49CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 6:29ARIShane Doan: Holding2 min
- P2 14:44CHIRichard Panik: Cross checking2 min
- P2 14:44ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Embellishment2 min
- P2 16:26CHIBrian Campbell: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 0:12ARIBrendan Perlini: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:30CHIAndrew Desjardins: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Martinook won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDesjardins – Hartman – Kero5:33
xG 0.40–0.20 (67%)attempts 10–3goals 1–1
- Anisimov – Kane – Panarin12:53
xG 0.41–0.27 (60%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
- Hossa – Kruger – Rasmussen8:05
xG 0.23–0.11 (67%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Toews – Panik – Schmaltz8:50
xG 0.17–0.12 (59%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – van Riemsdyk10:46
xG 0.47–0.05 (91%)attempts 17–5goals 1–0
- Seabrook – Forsling8:46
xG 0.16–0.02 (88%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson2:27
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- Vrbata – Hanzal – Rieder10:19
xG 0.09–0.07 (58%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- McGinn – Burmistrov – Domi7:26
xG 0.09–0.12 (42%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Doan – Perlini – Dvorak9:34
xG 0.32–0.46 (41%)attempts 9–9goals 1–1
- White – Martinook – Crouse7:00
xG 0.06–0.41 (12%)attempts 4–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Ekman-Larsson – Murphy4:32
xG 0.20–0.19 (50%)attempts 3–6goals 1–1
- Schenn – Ekman-Larsson9:24
xG 0.11–0.15 (42%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Stone – Chychrun2:05
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).