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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 4, 2017·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Detroit Red Wings 1, Nashville Predators 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 65% of the time.

NSH winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:05Zolnierczyk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Zolnierczyk · DET Ericsson, Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Jurco

  3. P1 4:14Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne4v5
  4. P1 5:11Shot by Jurco, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 5:40Shot by Neal, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 5:58Shot by Josi, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 6:55Shot by Johansen, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 7:00Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 8:17Shot by Ellis, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 8:46Shot by Weber, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 9:36Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 9:42Shot by Ericsson, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 11:16Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 13:42Shot by Neal, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 14:13Johansen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ellis, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · DET Ericsson, Tatar, Jensen, Sheahan, Larkin

  16. P1 15:00Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne4v5
  17. P1 16:21Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 17:01Shot by Josi, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 17:10Shot by Josi, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 18:30Goal by Green (Zetterberg, Mantha)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McLeod, Ellis, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Zolnierczyk · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 3:23Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Mrazek
  24. P2 4:23Shot by Johansen, saved by Mrazek
  25. P2 4:41Shot by Smith, saved by Mrazek
  26. P2 5:20Shot by Vanek, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 5:44Shot by Jurco, saved by Rinne
  28. P2 6:11Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 6:23Shot by Fisher, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 6:46Shot by Watson, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 7:31Shot by Vanek, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 8:41Shot by Forsberg, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 9:58Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 10:43Shot by Ellis, saved by Mrazek
  35. P2 11:37Shot by Sissons, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 12:34Shot by Johansen, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 13:27Shot by Forsberg, saved by Mrazek
  38. P2 14:06Shot by Fisher, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 15:14Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 16:11Shot by Smith, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 16:19Shot by Irwin, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 16:29Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 17:51Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 18:24Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 18:38Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:11Ericsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · DET Ericsson, Tatar, Jensen, Sheahan, Larkin

  49. P3 1:12Shot by Josi, saved by Mrazek5v4
  50. P3 2:05Shot by Subban, saved by Mrazek5v4
  51. P3 2:21Wilson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Subban, Wilson, Ellis, Jarnkrok · DET Ericsson, Helm, Ouellet, Glendening, DeKeyser

  52. P3 4:05Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Mrazek4v5
  53. P3 4:10Smith: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Subban, Ellis, Jarnkrok · DET Abdelkader, Helm, Smith, Tatar, Larkin

  54. P3 5:01Shot by Ellis, saved by Mrazek5v4
  55. P3 6:37Shot by Fisher, saved by Mrazek
  56. P3 6:49Watson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Ellis, Smith, Irwin, Watson · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Glendening, DeKeyser

  57. P3 7:45Forsberg: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Forsberg · DET Zetterberg, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser

  58. P3 8:17Shot by Vanek, saved by Rinne3v5
  59. P3 9:53Jurco: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · DET Ericsson, Helm, Jurco, Ouellet, Athanasiou

  60. P3 13:16Shot by Weber, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 13:37Shot by Forsberg, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 13:50Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 15:01Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  64. P3 15:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Mrazek
  65. P3 15:39Shot by Johansen, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 15:54Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Mrazek
  67. P3 16:20Shot by Smith, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 16:29Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 16:30Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne
  70. P3 16:30Johansen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Watson, Johansen · DET Vanek, Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser

  71. P3 16:30Abdelkader: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Watson, Johansen · DET Vanek, Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser

  72. P3 17:26Shot by Forsberg, saved by Mrazek4v4
  73. P3 17:58Shot by Josi, saved by Mrazek5v4
  74. P3 18:04Shot by Ellis, saved by Mrazek5v4
  75. P3 18:29Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Mrazek5v4
  76. P3 18:36Shot by Neal, saved by Mrazek6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Neal: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg · DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Helm, Smith, DeKeyser

  79. P3 0:00Final