Sat, Feb 4, 2017·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Arizona Coyotes 3, San Jose Sharks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 010 | 110 | 16 | 02 | 2 | 328 |
| SJS | 013 | 18 | 114 | 05 | 1 | 240 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 12:23ARIShane DoanPPAssists: Jamie McGinn, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 17:15SJSBrenden DillonAssists: Patrick Marleau, Logan Couture · Backhand, 0.30 xG1–1
- P3 2:18SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Patrick Marleau, Mikkel Boedker · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 2:44ARIRyan WhiteUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. SJS Patrick Marleau stopped
- 2. ARI Brendan Perlini scored
- 3. SJS Logan Couture scored
- 4. ARI Radim Vrbata scored
- 5. SJS Joe Pavelski stopped
Penalties (12)
- P1 11:06SJSTomas Hertl: Interference2 min
- P1 14:09SJSBrenden Dillon: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:09ARILawson Crouse: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:22ARIShane Doan: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:17ARILuke Schenn: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:17ARIMike Smith: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:34SJSKevin Labanc: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:34SJSMicheal Haley: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:34ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:33SJSMicheal Haley: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 14:27SJSBrent Burns: Interference2 min
- OT 2:09ARIShane Doan: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Thornton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- White – Martinook – Crouse9:39
xG 0.24–0.28 (46%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- McGinn – Burmistrov – Domi7:24
xG 0.08–0.23 (27%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
- Vrbata – Hanzal – Rieder12:17
xG 0.36–0.59 (38%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Doan – Perlini – Dvorak10:05
xG 0.19–0.53 (26%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Goligoski – Stone14:14
xG 0.36–0.38 (49%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson2:24
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Murphy – Chychrun11:18
xG 0.16–0.53 (23%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Couture – Boedker10:55
xG 1.27–0.32 (80%)attempts 16–9goals 2–0
- Hertl – Labanc – Meier2:06
xG 0.17–0.02 (88%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Hertl13:04
xG 0.38–0.28 (57%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Haley – Karlsson – Labanc5:47
xG 0.15–0.09 (63%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Dillon11:52
xG 1.03–0.21 (83%)attempts 13–9goals 1–1
- Vlasic – Braun15:37
xG 0.67–0.25 (73%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
- Martin – Burns13:39
xG 0.55–0.44 (55%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).