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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 9, 2017·Verizon Center, Washington

Detroit Red Wings 3, Washington Capitals 6

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 78% of the time.

WSH winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:52Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 3:50Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Holtby
  4. P1 5:57Goal by Johansson (Kuznetsov, Williams)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Williams, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Schmidt · DET Vanek, Helm, Smith, Sproul, Athanasiou

  5. P1 7:14Shot by Alzner, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 9:01Shot by Williams, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 10:32Shot by Eller, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 10:36Shot by Orpik, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 10:40Shot by Eller, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 10:58Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 11:04Shot by Schmidt, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 11:25Schmidt: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Backstrom, Connolly, Schmidt, Burakovsky · DET Green, Helm, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha

  13. P1 11:25Mantha: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Backstrom, Connolly, Schmidt, Burakovsky · DET Green, Helm, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha

  14. P1 11:57Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek4v4
  15. P1 13:30Goal by Athanasiou (Sproul, Vanek)+18 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Schmidt · DET Vanek, Smith, Sproul, Athanasiou, Mantha

  16. P1 15:18Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Holtby
  17. P1 15:27Shot by Nyquist, saved by Holtby
  18. P1 15:51Backstrom: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov · DET Ericsson, Vanek, Helm, Jensen, Athanasiou

  19. P1 16:23Goal by Athanasiou (Vanek)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Winnik, Alzner, Beagle, Carlson · DET Vanek, Green, Helm, Tatar, Athanasiou

  20. P1 16:57Shot by Nyquist, saved by Holtby
  21. P1 18:29Shot by Eller, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 18:30Goal by Connolly (Eller, Alzner)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Alzner, Eller, Carlson, Connolly · DET Jurco, Sproul, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser

  23. P1 18:54Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:38Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 1:16Goal by Oshie (Carlson, Backstrom)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha

  28. P2 1:46Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Mrazek
  29. P2 2:03Shot by Johansson, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 2:35Shot by Williams, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 6:30Shot by Schmidt, saved by Mrazek
  32. P2 7:08Shot by Beagle, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 7:09Shot by Beagle, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 7:39Shot by Mantha, saved by Holtby
  35. P2 7:46Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Holtby
  36. P2 8:35Shot by Tatar, saved by Holtby
  37. P2 9:36Shot by Green, saved by Holtby
  38. P2 13:16Shot by Eller, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 13:43Shot by Glendening, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 13:44Backstrom: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov · DET Zetterberg, Green, Smith, Nyquist, Glendening

  41. P2 16:04Shot by Alzner, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 17:04Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Holtby
  43. P2 17:05Shot by Williams, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 19:19Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:25Goal by Zetterberg (Mantha, Nyquist)+30 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Williams, Johansson, Kuznetsov, Schmidt · DET Zetterberg, Smith, Tatar, Jensen, Mantha

  48. P3 1:46Shot by Smith, saved by Holtby
  49. P3 2:41Shot by Williams, saved by Mrazek
  50. P3 3:28Shot by Beagle, saved by Mrazek
  51. P3 3:39Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek
  52. P3 4:15Goal by Carlson (Oshie)+32 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Orlov · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Sheahan, DeKeyser

  53. P3 12:52Shot by Larkin, saved by Holtby
  54. P3 13:34Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Winnik, Beagle, Wilson, Schmidt · DET Zetterberg, Smith, Nyquist, Sproul, Mantha

  55. P3 14:18Goal by Oshie (Backstrom, Johansson)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Johansson · DET Green, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser

  56. P3 18:08Shot by Larkin, saved by Holtby5v6
  57. P3 18:16Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Holtby5v6
  58. P3 18:28Goal by Backstrom (Beagle)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Alzner, Beagle, Carlson · DET Zetterberg, Vanek, Green, Abdelkader, Tatar, Athanasiou

  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Final