Thu, Feb 9, 2017·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Montréal Canadiens 5, Arizona Coyotes 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 28 | 015 | 213 | 14 | 540 |
| ARI | 06 | 312 | 16 | 01 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:57MTLMax PaciorettyAssists: Phillip Danault, Jeff Petry · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 13:10MTLAndrei MarkovAssists: Michael McCarron, Daniel Carr · Slap, 0.01 xG2–0
- P2 13:46ARIChristian DvorakPPAssists: Max Domi, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 15:45ARIMax DomiAssists: Peter Holland, Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.32 xG2–2
- P2 16:07ARIAlex GoligoskiSHAssists: Jordan Martinook · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–3
- P3 2:52MTLMax PaciorettyPPAssists: Andrei Markov, Jeff Petry · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–3
- P3 9:56MTLAlexander RadulovAssists: Phillip Danault, Max Pacioretty · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–3
- P3 15:08ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Shane Doan, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–4
- OT 2:13MTLAlex GalchenyukGWGAssists: Max Pacioretty · Wrist, 0.06 xG5–4
Penalties (5)
- P2 11:02MTLAndrew Shaw: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:09MTLPhillip Danault: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 14:01MTLPaul Byron: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:16ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Holding2 min
- P3 1:33ARILawson Crouse: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dvorak won the faceoff against Plekanec
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestMitchell – McCarron – Carr9:19
xG 0.62–0.07 (90%)attempts 15–6goals 1–0
- Radulov – Pacioretty – Danault14:47
xG 0.73–0.26 (74%)attempts 19–8goals 2–0
- Byron – Galchenyuk – Lehkonen10:01
xG 0.25–0.16 (61%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Plekanec – Shaw – Andrighetto13:13
xG 0.45–0.47 (49%)attempts 20–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWeber – Emelin17:31
xG 0.63–0.17 (79%)attempts 21–10goals 1–0
- Pateryn – Beaulieu15:29
xG 0.59–0.22 (73%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Markov – Petry16:55
xG 0.72–0.60 (55%)attempts 21–12goals 2–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhite – Martinook – Crouse6:30
xG 0.19–0.06 (77%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Holland – Perlini2:23
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Rieder – Martinook5:21
xG 0.15–0.18 (46%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
- White – Holland – Crouse3:03
xG 0.01–0.10 (13%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Stone17:39
xG 0.54–0.46 (54%)attempts 15–20goals 1–1
- Murphy – Chychrun15:05
xG 0.14–0.56 (20%)attempts 7–21goals 0–0
- Schenn – Ekman-Larsson18:48
xG 0.17–1.04 (14%)attempts 7–23goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).