Sun, Feb 12, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
San Jose Sharks 4, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 019 | 37 | 112 | 438 |
| NJD | 13 | 012 | 07 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:42NJDPA ParenteauAssists: Taylor Hall, Jacob Josefson · Wrist, 0.29 xG0–1
- P2 2:27SJSBrent BurnsAssists: Joe Thornton, Paul Martin · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 7:46SJSBrent BurnsGWGAssists: Kevin Labanc, Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 11:22SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–1
- P3 18:36SJSTomas HertlENAssists: Justin Braun, Joel Ward · Wrist, 0.61 xG4–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:19SJSKevin Labanc: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 4:59NJDJacob Josefson: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:10NJDJoseph Blandisi: Holding2 min
- P1 8:28NJDBen Lovejoy: High sticking2 min
- P1 14:42NJDSergey Kalinin: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:10SJSLogan Couture: Interference2 min
- P2 13:15NJDSeth Helgeson: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:15SJSMicheal Haley: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:43NJDAdam Henrique: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:47NJDPA Parenteau: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pavelski won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Pavelski – Labanc8:29
xG 0.39–0.33 (55%)attempts 12–6goals 3–0
- Haley – Tierney – Karlsson7:11
xG 0.16–0.14 (55%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Marleau – Couture – Boedker8:46
xG 0.22–0.44 (33%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Ward – Hertl – Meier10:45
xG 0.16–0.41 (28%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Schlemko – Dillon11:40
xG 0.36–0.51 (41%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
- Vlasic – Braun13:15
xG 0.31–0.48 (39%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Martin – Burns15:08
xG 0.29–0.85 (25%)attempts 14–19goals 2–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJosefson – Noesen – Zacha8:50
xG 0.32–0.18 (64%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Cammalleri – Henrique – Wood7:14
xG 0.23–0.15 (60%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Parenteau – Blandisi – Kalinin5:13
xG 0.06–0.03 (67%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Zajac – Palmieri – Hall7:59
xG 0.09–0.27 (25%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Lovejoy13:49
xG 0.76–0.35 (68%)attempts 9–13goals 0–1
- Helgeson – Severson9:22
xG 0.65–0.32 (67%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
- Moore – Santini9:47
xG 0.27–0.19 (59%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).