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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 14, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

New York Islanders 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Away

New York Islanders

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Carrick, saved by Greiss
  3. P1 1:01Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Greiss
  4. P1 1:16Shot by Ladd, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:35Shot by Komarov, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 3:02Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:34Shot by Brown, saved by Greiss
  8. P1 5:23Shot by Hickey, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 5:23Shot by Kulemin, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 6:42Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 7:29Kulemin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · NYI Seidenberg, Ladd, Kulemin, de Haan, Cizikas

  12. P1 8:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen5v4
  13. P1 9:05Shot by Komarov, saved by Greiss5v4
  14. P1 9:06Shot by Komarov, saved by Greiss5v4
  15. P1 10:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 11:36Goal by Leivo, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Smith, Leivo · NYI Chimera, Gionta, Hickey, Quine, Pelech

  17. P1 14:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Greiss
  18. P1 14:39Shot by Bailey, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 15:10Brown: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Matthews, Zaitsev · NYI Chimera, Boychuk, Bailey, Tavares, Leddy, Strome

  20. P1 15:21Shot by Leddy, saved by Andersen4v5
  21. P1 16:42Shot by Quine, saved by Andersen4v5
  22. P1 16:44Shot by Boychuk, saved by Andersen4v5
  23. P1 19:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Greiss
  24. P1 19:28Goal by Kadri (Zaitsev, Nylander)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Zaitsev · NYI Seidenberg, Leddy, Nelson, Strome, Beauvillier

  25. P1 0:00Shot by Bailey, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Greiss
  29. P2 1:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Greiss
  30. P2 2:59Shot by Leivo, saved by Greiss
  31. P2 3:09Lee: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Zaitsev · NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Tavares, Leddy, Lee

  32. P2 3:55Shot by Cizikas, saved by Andersen5v4
  33. P2 4:11Marner: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · NYI Seidenberg, Ladd, de Haan, Cizikas

  34. P2 4:15Shot by de Haan, saved by Andersen4v4
  35. P2 4:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Greiss4v4
  36. P2 6:13Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 6:40Shot by Chimera, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 6:43Shot by Quine, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 7:51Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 9:26Goal by Nylander (Kadri, Polak)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Zaitsev · NYI Hickey, Bailey, Tavares, Lee, Pelech

  41. P2 9:34Shot by Kadri, saved by Greiss
  42. P2 9:46Shot by Nylander, saved by Greiss
  43. P2 10:30Polak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Smith, Leivo · NYI Chimera, Boychuk, Gionta, Leddy, Quine

  44. P2 10:43Shot by Strome, saved by Andersen4v5
  45. P2 11:36Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen4v5
  46. P2 11:43Shot by Bailey, saved by Andersen4v5
  47. P2 12:26Shot by Quine, saved by Andersen4v5
  48. P2 14:10Shot by Rielly, saved by Greiss
  49. P2 15:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Greiss
  50. P2 16:19Shot by Chimera, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 16:49Shot by Chimera, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 16:55Hunwick: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Smith, Bozak, Marner · NYI Chimera, Boychuk, Leddy, Quine, Beauvillier

  53. P2 16:55Goal by Chimera, unassistedother+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Smith, Bozak, Marner · NYI Chimera, Boychuk, Leddy, Quine, Beauvillier

  54. P2 17:33Shot by Gardiner, saved by Greiss
  55. P2 17:51Kadri: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Zaitsev · NYI Seidenberg, Bailey, Tavares, de Haan, Lee

  56. P2 18:17Shot by Hunwick, saved by Greiss4v5
  57. P2 18:37Shot by Bailey, saved by Andersen4v5
  58. P2 19:04Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen4v5
  59. P2 19:28Shot by Lee, saved by Andersen4v5
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 1:49Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 3:52Shot by Hyman, saved by Greiss
  64. P3 4:54Shot by Brown, saved by Greiss
  65. P3 5:04Kulemin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Brown, Matthews · NYI Gionta, Kulemin, Hickey, Quine, Pelech

  66. P3 5:09Shot by Kadri, saved by Greiss5v4
  67. P3 5:18Shot by Bozak, saved by Greiss5v4
  68. P3 5:28Shot by Bozak, saved by Greiss5v4
  69. P3 5:39Shot by Leivo, saved by Greiss5v4
  70. P3 5:41Goal by Matthews (Komarov, Leivo)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Leivo, Nylander, Matthews · NYI Chimera, Seidenberg, de Haan, Cizikas

  71. P3 6:06Carrick: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · NYI Seidenberg, de Haan, Nelson, Strome, Beauvillier

  72. P3 6:06Strome: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Carrick, Marner · NYI Seidenberg, de Haan, Nelson, Strome, Beauvillier

  73. P3 5:40Shot by Komarov, saved by Greiss5v4
  74. P3 6:47Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 7:10Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Greiss
  76. P3 7:16Goal by Bozak (van Riemsdyk, Marner)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner · NYI Boychuk, Kulemin, Leddy, Nelson, Beauvillier

  77. P3 7:36Shot by Leivo, saved by Greiss
  78. P3 8:50Shot by Komarov, saved by Greiss
  79. P3 11:51Goal by Matthews (Brown)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Gardiner, Hyman, Brown, Matthews · NYI Boychuk, Ladd, Leddy, Cizikas, Beauvillier

  80. P3 13:01Shot by Gardiner, saved by Berube
  81. P3 13:31Shot by Leddy, saved by Andersen
  82. P3 14:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Berube
  83. P3 15:01Shot by Matthews, saved by Berube
  84. P3 15:36Shot by Martin, saved by Berube
  85. P3 15:40Goal by Hunwick (Leivo, Smith)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Smith, Leivo · NYI Chimera, Seidenberg, Ladd, de Haan, Beauvillier

  86. P3 16:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen
  87. P3 17:00Shot by Cizikas, saved by Andersen
  88. P3 18:27Shot by de Haan, saved by Andersen
  89. P3 19:34Shot by Leivo, saved by Berube
  90. P3 19:44Shot by Smith, saved by Berube
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final