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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 18, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

St. Louis Blues 2, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

St. Louis Blues

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 0:58Shot by Schwartz, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 1:31Goal by Tarasenko (Schwartz, Edmundson)5v6+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Kulikov, Bailey, Baptiste, Eichel · STL Berglund, Perron, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Edmundson, Parayko

  5. P1 4:38Shot by Ennis, saved by Allen
  6. P1 6:19Paajarvi: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kulikov, Foligno, Rodrigues · STL Shattenkirk, Gunnarsson, Paajarvi, Agostino, Barbashev

  7. P1 7:07Shot by Okposo, saved by Allen5v4
  8. P1 9:05Shot by Steen, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 9:34Goal by Baptiste (Eichel, Kane)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Kane, Baptiste, Ristolainen, Eichel · STL Bouwmeester, Pietrangelo, Paajarvi, Agostino, Barbashev

  10. P1 9:53Shot by Foligno, saved by Allen
  11. P1 10:54Shot by Bogosian, saved by Allen
  12. P1 11:12Allen: Delaying game illegal play by goalie (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Bailey, Ristolainen · STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko

  13. P1 12:47Shot by Kulikov, saved by Allen5v4
  14. P1 13:12McCabe: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Ennis, Kane, Kulikov, McCabe · STL Bouwmeester, Berglund, Pietrangelo, Schwartz

  15. P1 13:11Shot by Berglund, saved by Lehner5v4
  16. P1 14:08Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Lehner4v5
  17. P1 15:47Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 15:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Allen
  19. P1 16:11Shot by Upshall, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 18:42Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 19:25Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Allen
  22. P1 19:49Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 19:58Shot by Gionta, saved by Allen
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:16Shot by Lehtera, saved by Lehner
  27. P2 0:18Shot by Lehtera, saved by Lehner
  28. P2 1:01Shot by Parayko, saved by Lehner
  29. P2 1:26Shot by Schwartz, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 2:01Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lehner
  31. P2 2:45Shot by Bogosian, saved by Allen
  32. P2 3:37Shot by Ennis, saved by Allen
  33. P2 4:06Lehtera: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Franson, Okposo, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Bailey · STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko

  34. P2 4:12Shot by Eichel, saved by Allen5v4
  35. P2 5:16Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Allen5v4
  36. P2 5:58Shot by Eichel, saved by Allen5v4
  37. P2 6:07Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Allen
  38. P2 6:17Shot by Parayko, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 7:55Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 9:46Shot by Reaves, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 11:04Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 11:54Shot by Eichel, saved by Allen
  43. P2 11:58Goal by Kane (Bogosian, Baptiste)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Kane, McCabe, Baptiste, Eichel · STL Berglund, Perron, Schwartz, Edmundson, Parayko

  44. P2 13:29Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 16:32Shot by Agostino, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 16:47Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lehner
  47. P2 17:32Shot by Eichel, saved by Allen
  48. P2 17:47Agostino: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Bogosian, Ennis, Eichel · STL Bouwmeester, Pietrangelo, Paajarvi, Agostino, Barbashev

  49. P2 19:02Upshall: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Eichel · STL Upshall, Bouwmeester, Brodziak, Pietrangelo

  50. P2 19:15Shot by Okposo, saved by Allen5v3
  51. P2 19:28Goal by O'Reilly (Ristolainen, Okposo)5v3+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Eichel · STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Pietrangelo

  52. P2 19:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Allen5v4
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:10Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lehner5v4
  56. P3 1:14Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 1:36Shot by Franson, saved by Allen
  58. P3 2:17Shot by Agostino, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 3:19Shot by Steen, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 4:32Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 5:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Allen
  62. P3 6:51Shot by Lehtera, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 7:45Shot by Schwartz, saved by Lehner
  64. P3 8:15Shot by Upshall, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 8:25Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Allen
  66. P3 8:43Shot by Lehtera, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 9:52Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 11:07Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lehner5v6
  69. P3 11:08Moulson: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Franson, Bogosian, Ennis, Eichel · STL Shattenkirk, Paajarvi, Tarasenko, Agostino, Parayko, Barbashev

  70. P3 12:21Shot by Schwartz, saved by Lehner4v5
  71. P3 12:38Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Lehner4v5
  72. P3 13:12Shot by Parayko, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 14:26Shattenkirk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel · STL Steen, Shattenkirk, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Parayko

  74. P3 14:31Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Allen5v4
  75. P3 15:03Goal by Upshall, unassisted5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Franson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Eichel · STL Upshall, Bouwmeester, Brodziak, Pietrangelo

  76. P3 15:20Shot by Eichel, saved by Allen5v4
  77. P3 15:34Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Allen5v4
  78. P3 15:56Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Allen5v4
  79. P3 18:41Shot by Berglund, saved by Lehner5v6
  80. P3 18:48Lehner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen · STL Steen, Shattenkirk, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Parayko

  81. P3 19:54Shot by Steen, saved by Lehner4v6
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final