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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 25, 2017·Heinz Field, PittsburghOutdoor game

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.

PIT winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Voracek–Schenn–CousinsGiroux–Simmonds–WealWeise–Couturier–RafflVandeVelde–Read–BellemareGiroux–Voracek–SchennMacDonald–ProvorovManning–GudasStreit–Gostisbehere
Cullen–Fehr–Kuhnhackl2:360.07–0.061:190.07–0.001:530.00–0.001:240.00–0.013:320.08–0.001:310.00–0.022:480.07–0.04
Kunitz–Malkin–Kessel2:570.11–0.022:400.04–0.031:000.00–0.003:240.11–0.032:270.04–0.021:170.00–0.00
Hornqvist–Bonino–Wilson1:170.07–0.001:300.00–0.051:430.01–0.011:330.04–0.01
Kunitz–Crosby–Guentzel1:290.03–0.000:530.08–0.000:490.01–0.000:310.00–0.002:290.10–0.000:530.08–0.00
Crosby–Hornqvist–Hagelin1:560.07–0.001:090.00–0.001:160.00–0.002:040.00–0.10
Malkin–Kessel–Hagelin1:230.02–0.000:430.00–0.001:220.02–0.021:580.02–0.000:470.00–0.020:490.02–0.00
Crosby–Hagelin–Guentzel1:200.01–0.050:510.00–0.001:540.01–0.020:420.00–0.05
Bonino–Wilson–Guentzel1:390.09–0.261:430.09–0.26
Crosby–Wilson–Guentzel1:000.00–0.001:130.05–0.00
Cole–Schultz5:390.12–0.203:310.01–0.082:320.00–0.001:120.00–0.010:420.00–0.075:170.10–0.145:590.20–0.183:270.07–0.04
Hainsey–Dumoulin2:570.15–0.006:090.19–0.042:370.09–0.026:060.09–0.062:060.05–0.025:310.29–0.06
Gaunce–Ruhwedel2:500.02–0.262:320.00–0.061:050.03–0.003:000.00–0.011:330.02–0.26
Cole–Ruhwedel0:400.00–0.000:470.03–0.000:430.00–0.000:430.02–0.001:190.01–0.00
Schultz–Gaunce1:090.00–0.010:390.00–0.000:300.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHagelin FHornqvist FCrosby FMalkin FKessel FKunitz FBonino FWilson FGuentzel FCullen FFehr FKuhnhackl FSchultz DCole DDumoulin DHainsey DRuhwedel DGaunce DMurray GSimmonds FGiroux FWeal FSchenn FCousins FVoracek FRaffl FCouturier FWeise FRead FVandeVelde FBellemare FProvorov DMacDonald DGudas DManning DStreit DGostisbehere DNeuvirth G
PITPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ian ColePIT2824:370:532:0204
Justin SchultzPIT3024:080:481:5154
Ivan ProvorovPHI3123:380:461:3867
Brian DumoulinPIT3123:180:451:2918
Andrew MacDonaldPHI2921:190:441:3347
Ron HainseyPIT2721:080:471:2926
Sidney CrosbyPIT2420:470:521:3262
Evgeni MalkinPIT2520:080:481:42102
Phil KesselPIT2419:050:481:32102
Wayne SimmondsPHI2519:010:461:2661
Brandon ManningPHI2718:380:411:1834
Radko GudasPHI2718:360:411:1834
Brayden SchennPHI2418:210:462:0282
Claude GirouxPHI2518:020:431:2680
Sean CouturierPHI2317:550:471:2243
Shayne GostisbeherePHI2217:510:492:0261
Jakub VoracekPHI2417:100:432:02102
Mark StreitPHI2416:470:421:3261
Jordan WealPHI2015:430:471:2551
Chris KunitzPIT2415:200:381:1623
Carl HagelinPIT2114:360:421:0961
Matt CullenPIT2014:260:432:0219
Patric HornqvistPIT1813:480:461:1850
Nick CousinsPHI2013:390:411:0672
Jake GuentzelPIT2113:170:381:0712
Tom KuhnhacklPIT1912:570:412:02210
Chad RuhwedelPIT1912:370:401:0542
Pierre-Edouard BellemarePHI2012:260:371:0637
Nick BoninoPIT2012:250:371:0501
Chris VandeVeldePHI1811:460:391:0837
Dale WeisePHI1611:140:421:1722
Michael RafflPHI1610:340:401:1722
Cameron GauncePIT1710:060:361:1543
Eric FehrPIT1710:030:351:3125
Scott WilsonPIT139:000:421:0600
Matt ReadPHI105:440:340:4731