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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 4, 2017·Madison Square Garden, New York

Montréal Canadiens 4, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 63% of the time.

NYR winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Gallagher, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:35Shot by Martinsen, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 2:44Shot by Pirri, saved by Price
  6. P1 3:13Shot by Holden, saved by Price
  7. P1 3:37Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Price
  8. P1 5:25Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 5:32Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 6:22Shot by Plekanec, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 9:06Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 12:51Goal by Weber (Pacioretty, Ott)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pirri, Lindberg, Clendening, Puempel, Skjei · MTL Markov, Ott, Weber, Mitchell, Pacioretty

  14. P1 13:13Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  15. P1 13:24Shot by Holden, saved by Price
  16. P1 15:06Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 17:47Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 18:43Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Price
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:26Shot by Markov, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P2 0:51Shot by Gallagher, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P2 1:55Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 2:22Shot by Martinsen, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P2 5:47Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Price
  26. P2 7:50Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Price
  27. P2 8:28Shot by Vesey, saved by Price
  28. P2 8:31Shot by Miller, saved by Price
  29. P2 8:48Goal by Lehkonen (Danault, Pacioretty)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Pirri, Hayes, Clendening, Vesey · MTL Emelin, Pacioretty, Beaulieu, Danault, Lehkonen

  30. P2 10:49Shot by McDonagh, saved by Price
  31. P2 11:00Shot by Nash, saved by Price
  32. P2 11:02Shot by Nash, saved by Price
  33. P2 11:53Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 12:06Shot by Hayes, saved by Price
  35. P2 13:41Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 14:06Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 14:17Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Price
  38. P2 16:06Shot by Vesey, saved by Price
  39. P2 17:04Shot by Danault, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 18:06Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 18:22Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 18:37Shot by Shaw, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 18:37Goal by Shaw (Galchenyuk, Markov)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Hayes, Clendening, Miller, Skjei, Vesey · MTL Markov, Petry, Byron, Shaw, Galchenyuk

  44. P2 19:34Shot by Gallagher, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:18Shot by Shaw, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P3 1:28Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P3 1:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P3 1:44Shot by Kreider, saved by Price
  51. P3 1:44Goal by Kreider (Stepan, Zuccarello)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · MTL King, Benn, Gallagher, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk

  52. P3 4:07Shot by Kreider, saved by Price
  53. P3 4:33Shot by Ott, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 5:56Shot by Lindberg, saved by Price
  55. P3 6:04Shot by Lindberg, saved by Price
  56. P3 6:19Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 6:55Shot by Byron, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 6:58Goal by Benn (Beaulieu, Galchenyuk)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Holden, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · MTL King, Benn, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk, Lehkonen

  59. P3 7:40Shot by Staal, saved by Price
  60. P3 8:12Shot by Stepan, saved by Price
  61. P3 8:19Shot by Kreider, saved by Price
  62. P3 9:49Shot by Skjei, saved by Price
  63. P3 10:18Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 12:29Shot by Vesey, saved by Price
  65. P3 13:11Shot by Shaw, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 14:36Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  67. P3 16:45Gallagher: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Hayes, Miller, Vesey · MTL Markov, Weber, Pacioretty, Gallagher, Danault

  68. P3 16:45Staal: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Hayes, Miller, Vesey · MTL Markov, Weber, Pacioretty, Gallagher, Danault

  69. P3 17:43Skjei: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Holden, Zuccarello, Skjei, Buchnevich · MTL Emelin, Mitchell, Petry, Byron

  70. P3 19:22Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final