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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 4, 2017·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Detroit Red Wings 3, Edmonton Oilers 4

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

Edmonton Oilers

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 86% of the time.

EDM winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Larsson, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:41Goal by McDavid (Larsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Gryba, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Caggiula · DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Ouellet, Sproul, Mantha

  4. P1 2:52Shot by Letestu, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 4:14Shot by Gryba, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 5:06Shot by Nurse, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 5:10Shot by Nurse, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 5:23Shot by Gryba, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 5:32Shot by Helm, saved by Talbot
  10. P1 10:09Shot by Mantha, saved by Talbot
  11. P1 10:16Shot by Sproul, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 11:33Shot by Gryba, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 11:45Shot by Lucic, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 12:11Shot by Nyquist, saved by Talbot
  15. P1 13:06Shot by Letestu, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 14:48Shot by Ouellet, saved by Talbot
  17. P1 15:04Goal by Mantha (Zetterberg)+18 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Maroon, Larsson, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid · DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha

  18. P1 16:31Shot by Miller, saved by Talbot
  19. P1 16:46Shot by Nurse, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 17:39Shot by Lucic, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 19:38Goal by Larsson (Desharnais)+20 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Desharnais, Kassian, Larsson, Klefbom, Caggiula · DET Nielsen, Green, Tatar, Ouellet, Athanasiou

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:30Shot by Jensen, saved by Talbot
  25. P2 0:49Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Mrazek
  26. P2 1:11Shot by Klefbom, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 2:57Shot by Caggiula, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 3:38Shot by Kronwall, saved by Talbot
  29. P2 4:35Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Talbot
  30. P2 6:57Shot by Caggiula, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 8:00Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Mrazek
  32. P2 8:55Shot by Desharnais, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 10:41Shot by Lucic, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 10:42Shot by Eberle, saved by Mrazek
  35. P2 10:46Shot by Nurse, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 13:19Shot by Caggiula, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 14:49Nielsen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Gryba, Maroon, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Tatar, Jensen, Athanasiou

  38. P2 15:03Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Mrazek5v4
  39. P2 15:22Shot by Helm, saved by Talbot5v4
  40. P2 15:33Shot by Ouellet, saved by Talbot5v4
  41. P2 16:10Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Mrazek5v4
  42. P2 16:47Shot by Caggiula, saved by Mrazek5v4
  43. P2 17:14Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 18:01Shot by Desharnais, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:55Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Talbot
  48. P3 1:46Shot by Jensen, saved by Talbot
  49. P3 1:59Shot by Nyquist, saved by Talbot
  50. P3 2:27Shot by Gryba, saved by Mrazek
  51. P3 6:58Goal by Eberle (Lucic)+10 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Lucic, Eberle, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom · DET Abdelkader, Helm, Jensen, DeKeyser, Larkin

  52. P3 7:30Shot by Lucic, saved by Mrazek
  53. P3 9:33Shot by Helm, saved by Talbot
  54. P3 9:57Shot by Larkin, saved by Talbot
  55. P3 10:13Shot by Lucic, saved by Mrazek
  56. P3 10:26Goal by Helm (Larkin)+8 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Sekera, Lucic, Eberle, Nugent-Hopkins, Benning · DET Abdelkader, Helm, Jensen, Ouellet, Larkin

  57. P3 11:35Shot by Kassian, saved by Mrazek
  58. P3 12:04Shot by Ouellet, saved by Talbot
  59. P3 12:46Shot by Hendricks, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 13:09Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 13:43Shot by Ouellet, saved by Talbot
  62. P3 14:00Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 14:02Goal by Maroon (Draisaitl, McDavid)+7 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Maroon, Larsson, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid · DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Ouellet, Larkin

  64. P3 15:21Shot by Miller, saved by Talbot
  65. P3 15:39Shot by Lucic, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 16:02Athanasiou: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Sekera, Lucic, Eberle, Nugent-Hopkins, Benning · DET Nielsen, Tatar, Jensen, Athanasiou, DeKeyser

  67. P3 19:08Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Talbot5v6
  68. P3 19:22Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Talbot5v6
  69. P3 19:25Goal by Larkin (Abdelkader, Zetterberg)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Gryba, Lucic, Letestu, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Tatar, Larkin

  70. P3 19:24Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Talbot5v6
  71. P3 0:00McDavid: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Sekera, Maroon, Benning, Draisaitl, McDavid · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Larkin

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final