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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 9, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Minnesota Wild 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 54% of the time.

TBL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Stewart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 3:21Shot by Dotchin, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 4:00Shot by Drouin, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 4:03Shot by Stralman, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 4:48Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 6:17Shot by Erne, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 6:46Suter: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Sustr, Erne, Drouin · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  9. P1 6:53Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Palat)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin · MIN Staal, Hanzal, Scandella, Brodin

  10. P1 7:29Shot by Hedman, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 7:32Witkowski: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Witkowski, Hedman, Dumont, Paquette, Dotchin · MIN Suter, Hanzal, White, Niederreiter, Brodin

  12. P1 8:21Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  13. P1 11:01Goal by Hedman (Drouin, Dotchin)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Namestnikov, Dotchin, Erne, Drouin · MIN Hanzal, White, Scandella, Prosser, Niederreiter

  14. P1 11:19Shot by Suter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 12:48Shot by Brodin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 15:34Shot by Zucker, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 16:46Shot by Coyle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 19:13Shot by Pominville, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 18:15Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dubnyk
  23. P2 0:35Shot by Palat, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P2 1:08Zucker: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Gourde, Point · MIN Koivu, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin, Olofsson

  25. P2 1:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  26. P2 2:52Shot by Point, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  27. P2 3:04Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  28. P2 3:58Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 4:12Shot by Koivu, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 4:37Goal by Sustr (Kucherov, Johnson)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  31. P2 6:21Shot by Drouin, saved by Dubnyk
  32. P2 6:38Shot by Drouin, saved by Dubnyk
  33. P2 7:48Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 11:11Shot by Hanzal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 11:57Shot by Drouin, saved by Dubnyk
  36. P2 12:52Shot by Coyle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 15:01Shot by Coburn, saved by Dubnyk
  38. P2 15:16Shot by Stralman, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 18:44Shot by Point, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 18:48Shot by Hedman, saved by Dubnyk
  41. P2 19:13Point: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin, Point · MIN Koivu, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin, Olofsson

  42. P2 19:36Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:25Shot by Killorn, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  46. P3 2:48Shot by Killorn, saved by Dubnyk
  47. P3 3:12Shot by Paquette, saved by Dubnyk
  48. P3 3:27Shot by White, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 4:31Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 6:21Shot by Haula, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 6:26Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 7:15Shot by White, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 9:06Dotchin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin, Point · MIN Pominville, Suter, Spurgeon, Haula, Coyle

  54. P3 9:11Shot by Garrison, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  55. P3 9:56Shot by Coyle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  56. P3 9:57Shot by Coyle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  57. P3 11:05Shot by Granlund, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  58. P3 11:07Shot by Suter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 11:21Shot by Granlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 12:17Shot by Killorn, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 12:36Shot by Prosser, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 13:03Prosser: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Kucherov, Gourde, Sustr, Drouin · MIN Hanzal, White, Stewart, Scandella, Prosser

  63. P3 13:33Shot by Suter, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  64. P3 13:57Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  65. P3 14:58Shot by Hedman, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  66. P3 15:02Shot by Point, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  67. P3 16:02Goal by Scandella (Brodin, Koivu)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Gourde, Erne · MIN Koivu, Scandella, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin

  68. P3 16:02Garrison: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Gourde, Erne · MIN Koivu, Scandella, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin

  69. P3 17:12Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  70. P3 18:51Goal by Kucherov (Gourde)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Gourde · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle, Granlund

  71. P3 19:05Shot by Haula, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 19:10Shot by Pominville, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 19:23Shot by Erne, saved by Dubnyk
  74. P3 19:36Shot by Coyle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final