Sun, Mar 12, 2017·United Center, Chicago
Minnesota Wild 2, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 113 | 020 | 111 | 244 |
| CHI | 27 | 18 | 17 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:51CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Artemi Panarin, Johnny Oduya · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P1 4:38CHIArtemi PanarinAssists: Patrick Kane, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Snap, 0.05 xG0–2
- P1 10:30MINEric StaalAssists: Nino Niederreiter, Marco Scandella · Wrist, 0.31 xG1–2
- P2 5:28CHITrevor van RiemsdykGWGAssists: Marcus Kruger, Jordin Tootoo · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–3
- P3 0:46MINMikael GranlundUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 13:42CHIMarian HossaAssists: Duncan Keith · Slap, 0.17 xG2–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 17:41CHITanner Kero: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:08MINJonas Brodin: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 17:51MINMathew Dumba: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:33MINRyan Suter: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Haula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestPominville – Parise – Haula12:53
xG 1.17–0.33 (78%)attempts 21–6goals 0–1
- Staal – Coyle – Niederreiter13:51
xG 0.85–0.15 (85%)attempts 20–5goals 1–1
- Koivu – Zucker – Granlund13:27
xG 0.78–0.54 (59%)attempts 21–12goals 1–1
- White – Stewart – Schroeder8:39
xG 0.09–0.39 (19%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Spurgeon16:39
xG 1.36–0.37 (78%)attempts 29–8goals 0–1
- Scandella – Dumba11:45
xG 0.77–0.49 (61%)attempts 14–10goals 2–2
- Suter – Brodin4:07
xG 0.29–0.01 (97%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Desjardins – Toews – Panik2:07
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Tootoo – Desjardins – Kruger5:37
xG 0.22–0.25 (46%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Panarin13:01
xG 0.64–0.74 (46%)attempts 16–15goals 2–1
- Hossa – Hartman – Kero10:47
xG 0.27–0.62 (31%)attempts 5–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – van Riemsdyk13:01
xG 0.45–0.33 (58%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson19:30
xG 0.33–1.13 (23%)attempts 10–26goals 1–0
- Keith – Seabrook18:06
xG 0.59–1.52 (28%)attempts 15–31goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).