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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 14, 2017·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Florida Panthers 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 59% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Goal by Barkov (Huberdeau)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, Demers, Huberdeau, Barkov · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander, Zaitsev

  3. P1 0:53Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 2:09Marner: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, MacKenzie, Kindl, Sceviour, Pysyk · TOR Boyle, Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Kadri, Soshnikov

  5. P1 2:56Shot by Demers, saved by Andersen5v4
  6. P1 5:28Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 5:39Shot by Kindl, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 7:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 7:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 9:54Shot by Martin, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 10:12Bjugstad: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Vanek, Yandle, Demers, Bjugstad, Marchessault · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marincin, Marner

  12. P1 10:26Shot by Marner, saved by Reimer4v5
  13. P1 10:33Goal by Sceviour (MacKenzie, Matheson)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Pysyk, Matheson · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev

  14. P1 11:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Reimer4v5
  15. P1 12:02Shot by Gardiner, saved by Reimer4v5
  16. P1 12:58Jagr: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Jokinen, Kindl, Petrovic, Barkov · TOR Boyle, Polak, Martin, Rielly, Marner

  17. P1 13:36Goal by Komarov (Nylander)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Pysyk, Trocheck, Matheson · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander, Matthews

  18. P1 14:21Goal by Marchessault (Vanek)+12 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Vanek, Kindl, Petrovic, Bjugstad, Marchessault · TOR Komarov, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Zaitsev

  19. P1 15:21Kindl: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kindl, Pysyk, Huberdeau, Barkov · TOR Polak, Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner

  20. P1 16:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Reimer4v5
  21. P1 18:22Shot by Barkov, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 18:48Shot by Komarov, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:46Shot by Gardiner, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 3:04Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 3:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 3:59Shot by Jagr, saved by McElhinney
  29. P2 4:38Goal by Marchessault (Barkov, Vanek)+6 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Vanek, Kindl, Pysyk, Marchessault, Barkov · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev

  30. P2 5:00Shot by Vanek, saved by McElhinney
  31. P2 5:20Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 6:30Shot by Bozak, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 7:16Shot by Marner, saved by Reimer
  34. P2 9:14Shot by Kadri, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 10:02Shot by Jokinen, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 11:18Shot by Sceviour, saved by McElhinney
  37. P2 11:53Shot by Hyman, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 11:52Shot by Hyman, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 13:45Shot by Vanek, saved by McElhinney
  40. P2 14:19Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 15:10Shot by Thornton, saved by McElhinney
  42. P2 16:21Shot by Smith, saved by McElhinney
  43. P2 16:22Goal by Smith (Yandle, Jokinen)+2 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Yandle, Demers, Smith, Trocheck · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Bozak, Kadri, Marincin

  44. P2 17:31Shot by Demers, saved by McElhinney
  45. P2 17:48Shot by Vanek, saved by McElhinney
  46. P2 18:18Shot by Martin, saved by Reimer
  47. P2 18:19Goal by Soshnikov (Martin, Boyle)+1 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Thornton, MacKenzie, Yandle, Demers, Marchessault · TOR Boyle, Gardiner, Martin, Soshnikov, Zaitsev

  48. P2 19:08Soshnikov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kindl, Pysyk, Huberdeau, Barkov · TOR Boyle, Hunwick, Rielly, Soshnikov, Matthews

  49. P2 19:33Goal by Jokinen (Vanek, Trocheck)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Vanek, Demers, Smith, Trocheck · TOR Polak, Komarov, Marincin, Brown

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 2:17Goal by Yandle (Vanek, Trocheck)0 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Vanek, Yandle, Demers, Smith, Trocheck · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, Zaitsev

  53. P3 2:49Polak: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Vanek, Petrovic, Bjugstad, Marchessault, Matheson · TOR Boyle, Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Soshnikov

  54. P3 3:17Shot by Marchessault, saved by McElhinney5v4
  55. P3 4:44Shot by Kindl, saved by McElhinney5v4
  56. P3 4:49Shot by Hyman, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 6:15Nylander: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Yandle, Demers, Huberdeau, Barkov · TOR Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  58. P3 6:21Shot by Thornton, saved by McElhinney5v4
  59. P3 7:15Shot by Yandle, saved by McElhinney5v4
  60. P3 7:36Shot by Trocheck, saved by McElhinney5v4
  61. P3 9:43Shot by Thornton, saved by McElhinney
  62. P3 10:06Shot by Sceviour, saved by McElhinney
  63. P3 10:22Shot by Kadri, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 11:12Shot by Rielly, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 11:35Shot by Martin, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 11:41Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 12:31MacKenzie: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, MacKenzie, Kindl, Sceviour, Pysyk · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, Zaitsev

  68. P3 12:49Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer4v5
  69. P3 13:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer4v5
  70. P3 14:12Shot by Rielly, saved by Reimer4v5
  71. P3 15:17Martin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, MacKenzie, Kindl, Petrovic, Marchessault · TOR Boyle, Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Soshnikov

  72. P3 15:17Petrovic: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Thornton, MacKenzie, Kindl, Petrovic, Marchessault · TOR Boyle, Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Soshnikov

  73. P3 15:50Shot by Matheson, saved by McElhinney4v4
  74. P3 16:23van Riemsdyk: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Demers, Trocheck, Marchessault · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Rielly, Marner

  75. P3 16:23van Riemsdyk: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Demers, Trocheck, Marchessault · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Rielly, Marner

  76. P3 16:23Marchessault: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Demers, Trocheck, Marchessault · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Rielly, Marner

  77. P3 16:46Shot by Vanek, saved by McElhinney4v3
  78. P3 18:12Shot by Trocheck, saved by McElhinney5v4
  79. P3 19:02Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  80. P3 19:46Shot by Thornton, saved by McElhinney
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final