Tue, Mar 14, 2017·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Arizona Coyotes 3, Los Angeles Kings 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 011 | 010 | 28 | 03 | 2 | 332 |
| LAK | 011 | 116 | 115 | 04 | 1 | 246 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:03LAKTyler ToffoliAssists: Jake Muzzin, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.38 xG0–1
- P3 5:49ARIMax DomiAssists: Christian Dvorak, Jakob Chychrun · Snap, 0.07 xG1–1
- P3 18:24LAKTyler ToffoliPPAssists: Jeff Carter, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.13 xG1–2
- P3 19:15ARIMax DomiAssists: Shane Doan, Radim Vrbata · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Jeff Carter scored
- 2. ARI Brendan Perlini scored
- 3. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 4. ARI Radim Vrbata stopped
- 5. LAK Tyler Toffoli stopped
- 6. ARI Max Domi stopped
- 7. LAK Jarome Iginla stopped
- 8. ARI Anthony Duclair stopped
- 9. LAK Marian Gaborik stopped
- 10. ARI Oliver Ekman-Larsson stopped
- 11. LAK Tanner Pearson stopped
- 12. ARI Christian Dvorak stopped
- 13. LAK Nic Dowd stopped
- 14. ARI Jakob Chychrun stopped
- 15. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 16. ARI Peter Holland stopped
- 17. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 18. ARI Tobias Rieder stopped
- 19. LAK Drew Doughty stopped
- 20. ARI Shane Doan stopped
- 21. LAK Trevor Lewis stopped
- 22. ARI Tony DeAngelo scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 13:44LAKDustin Brown: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:46LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:44ARIBrendan Perlini: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 9:34ARIJordan Martinook: Slashing2 min
- P3 17:26ARIConnor Murphy: Tripping2 min · PPG
- OT 4:17LAKJeff Carter: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Martinook
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- McGinn – Holland – Duclair8:30
xG 0.09–0.21 (30%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Domi – Dvorak12:23
xG 0.21–0.39 (35%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Doan – Jooris – Crouse9:59
xG 0.37–0.74 (33%)attempts 11–12goals 0–1
- Rieder – Martinook – Perlini13:50
xG 0.22–1.50 (13%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeAngelo – Chychrun10:05
xG 0.66–0.29 (69%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun4:18
xG 0.07–0.06 (54%)attempts 1–2goals 1–0
- Goligoski – Murphy14:11
xG 0.20–0.69 (23%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Toffoli – Pearson11:21
xG 1.57–0.16 (91%)attempts 20–8goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Lewis – Kempe11:08
xG 0.42–0.19 (69%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Clifford – Dowd – Andreoff7:15
xG 0.21–0.21 (51%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Iginla – Brown – Kopitar14:26
xG 0.40–0.47 (46%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort18:06
xG 1.51–0.50 (75%)attempts 20–11goals 0–0
- Muzzin – LaDue11:34
xG 0.88–0.44 (67%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
- Martinez – Gravel13:03
xG 0.69–0.28 (71%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).