Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 15, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver

Detroit Red Wings 1, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 71% of the time.

COL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Barrie, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Pickard
  4. P1 2:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:52Shot by Nielsen, saved by Pickard
  6. P1 3:58Shot by Green, saved by Pickard
  7. P1 5:09Goal by Athanasiou (Abdelkader, Larkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Mitchell, Comeau, Soderberg, Barrie · DET Abdelkader, Russo, Ouellet, Athanasiou, Larkin

  8. P1 7:19Shot by Kronwall, saved by Pickard
  9. P1 8:19Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Pickard
  10. P1 9:12Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Howard
  11. P1 9:42Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Howard
  12. P1 10:04MacKinnon: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Lindholm, Rantanen · DET Tatar, Jensen, Sheahan, Glendening, DeKeyser

  13. P1 10:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard4v5
  14. P1 12:42Shot by Sheahan, saved by Pickard
  15. P1 12:53Shot by Helm, saved by Pickard
  16. P1 13:34Shot by Larkin, saved by Pickard
  17. P1 14:29Shot by Bourque, saved by Howard
  18. P1 16:10Shot by Rantanen, saved by Howard
  19. P1 17:29Shot by Helm, saved by Pickard
  20. P1 18:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard
  21. P1 19:36Miller: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Colborne, Barrie, Grigorenko, Compher, MacKinnon · DET Miller, Jensen, Sheahan, Glendening, DeKeyser

  22. P1 19:42Shot by Landeskog, saved by Howard5v4
  23. P1 19:54Shot by Barberio, saved by Howard5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:29Shot by Rantanen, saved by Howard5v4
  27. P2 0:40Shot by Barberio, saved by Howard5v4
  28. P2 2:22Shot by Tatar, saved by Pickard
  29. P2 3:43Shot by Helm, saved by Pickard
  30. P2 4:40Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Pickard
  31. P2 7:45Shot by Barrie, saved by Howard
  32. P2 8:00Shot by Helm, saved by Pickard
  33. P2 8:05Shot by Jensen, saved by Pickard
  34. P2 9:06Shot by Sheahan, saved by Pickard
  35. P2 9:27Athanasiou: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Colborne, Landeskog, Compher, Lindholm · DET Kronwall, Miller, Green, Glendening, Larkin

  36. P2 11:35Shot by Landeskog, saved by Howard
  37. P2 12:08Goal by Duchene (Landeskog, Tyutin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Bourque, Duchene, Landeskog, Lindholm · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Russo, Larkin

  38. P2 12:25Shot by Nyquist, saved by Pickard
  39. P2 13:15Shot by Kronwall, saved by Pickard
  40. P2 16:01Shot by Colborne, saved by Howard
  41. P2 17:08Shot by Helm, saved by Pickard
  42. P2 17:23Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Howard
  43. P2 18:17Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Pickard
  44. P2 19:25Tatar: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Bourque, Johnson, Barberio, Duchene, Landeskog · DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Tatar, Jensen, DeKeyser

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard5v4
  48. P3 1:10Shot by Barberio, saved by Howard5v4
  49. P3 3:49Goal by Compher (Beauchemin)+32 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Colborne, Barrie, Grigorenko, Compher · DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Tatar, Jensen, DeKeyser

  50. P3 4:12Shot by Tatar, saved by Pickard
  51. P3 4:15Shot by Tatar, saved by Pickard
  52. P3 4:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard
  53. P3 4:44Shot by Rantanen, saved by Howard
  54. P3 5:06Shot by Nielsen, saved by Pickard
  55. P3 5:44Goal by Soderberg (Comeau, Mitchell)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Barberio · DET Helm, Russo, DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin

  56. P3 6:33Shot by Colborne, saved by Howard
  57. P3 6:51Shot by Barrie, saved by Howard
  58. P3 6:55Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Colborne, Barrie, Grigorenko, Compher · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Tatar

  59. P3 7:51Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard5v4
  60. P3 11:57Shot by Landeskog, saved by Howard
  61. P3 11:58Russo: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Bourque, Duchene, Landeskog, Lindholm · DET Nielsen, Helm, Russo, Ouellet, Mantha

  62. P3 11:58Shot by Landeskog, saved by Howardother
  63. P3 12:16Shot by Tyutin, saved by Howard
  64. P3 13:03Shot by Nyquist, saved by Pickard
  65. P3 13:08Shot by Jensen, saved by Pickard
  66. P3 13:04Shot by Nyquist, saved by Pickard
  67. P3 19:10Shot by Green, saved by Pickard5v6
  68. P3 19:54Shot by Helm, saved by Pickard5v6
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final