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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 17, 2017·Madison Square Garden, New York

Florida Panthers 4, New York Rangers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Stepan, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:45Kindl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Grabner, Kampfer, Kreider, Hayes, Skjei · FLA Jagr, Kindl, Pysyk, Huberdeau, Barkov

  4. P1 2:34Goal by Zuccarello (Kreider, Stepan)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad · FLA Yandle, Demers, Smith, Trocheck

  5. P1 2:47Shot by Sceviour, saved by Raanta
  6. P1 4:11Goal by Miller (Smith, Zibanejad)+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Smith, Holden, Zibanejad, Miller · FLA Vanek, Kindl, Pysyk, Trocheck, Marchessault

  7. P1 7:06Shot by Nash, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 7:44Shot by Matheson, saved by Raanta
  9. P1 8:44Shot by Stepan, saved by Reimer6v5
  10. P1 8:44Bjugstad: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Staal, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Hayes · FLA Jagr, Yandle, Demers, Bjugstad, Huberdeau

  11. P1 12:54Shot by Stepan, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 13:32Shot by Holden, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 13:55Shot by Marchessault, saved by Raanta
  14. P1 14:20Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Raanta
  15. P1 14:44Shot by Yandle, saved by Raanta
  16. P1 15:55Shot by Thornton, saved by Raanta
  17. P1 16:22Shot by Trocheck, saved by Raanta
  18. P1 16:34Shot by Pysyk, saved by Raanta
  19. P1 18:47Zuccarello: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kampfer, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · FLA Jokinen, Smith, Petrovic, Trocheck, Matheson

  20. P1 19:27Shot by Marchessault, saved by Raanta4v5
  21. P1 19:28Shot by Marchessault, saved by Raanta4v5
  22. P1 19:54Shot by Smith, saved by Raanta4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:27Shot by Yandle, saved by Raanta4v5
  26. P2 1:25Goal by Huberdeau (Jagr, Petrovic)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Smith, Holden, Zibanejad, Miller · FLA Jagr, Petrovic, Huberdeau, Matheson, Barkov

  27. P2 2:28Shot by Jokinen, saved by Raanta
  28. P2 2:41Shot by Kindl, saved by Raanta
  29. P2 2:59Shot by Sceviour, saved by Raanta
  30. P2 4:37Shot by Yandle, saved by Raanta
  31. P2 4:48Shot by Jagr, saved by Raanta
  32. P2 5:56Skjei: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Glass, Kampfer, Lindberg, Skjei, Vesey · FLA Vanek, Petrovic, Bjugstad, Marchessault, Matheson

  33. P2 6:41Goal by Jokinen (Vanek, Demers)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Holden, Stepan, Zuccarello · FLA Jokinen, Vanek, Demers, Smith, Trocheck

  34. P2 7:22Shot by Skjei, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 11:01Shot by Kindl, saved by Raanta
  36. P2 12:06Shot by Thornton, saved by Raanta
  37. P2 12:12Shot by Trocheck, saved by Raanta
  38. P2 13:15Shot by McDonagh, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 13:39Shot by Miller, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 13:43Shot by Skjei, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 14:00Demers: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kampfer, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · FLA Jokinen, Yandle, Demers, Smith, Trocheck

  42. P2 16:11Shot by Holden, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 16:19Shot by Sceviour, saved by Raanta
  44. P2 18:11Shot by Stepan, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 18:29Shot by Stepan, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 19:31Shot by Sceviour, saved by Raanta
  47. P2 19:37Shot by Matheson, saved by Raanta
  48. P2 19:45Shot by Lindberg, saved by Reimer
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:29Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer
  52. P3 1:59Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Raanta
  53. P3 2:59Shot by Petrovic, saved by Raanta
  54. P3 3:09Shot by Miller, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 5:24Shot by Hayes, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 5:54Shot by Lindberg, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 6:10Shot by Nash, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 7:23Goal by Barkov (Jagr, Huberdeau)+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · FLA Jagr, Yandle, Demers, Huberdeau, Barkov

  59. P3 7:31Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Raanta
  60. P3 7:58Shot by Grabner, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 7:56Shot by Hayes, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 9:05Shot by Nash, saved by Reimer
  63. P3 10:39Shot by Kindl, saved by Raanta
  64. P3 11:45Goal by Zuccarello (Smith, Holden)+33 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Holden, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Petrovic, Marchessault, Matheson

  65. P3 12:17Bjugstad: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Grabner, Smith, Holden, Hayes, Fast · FLA Vanek, Yandle, Demers, Bjugstad, Marchessault

  66. P3 12:17Hayes: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Grabner, Smith, Holden, Hayes, Fast · FLA Vanek, Yandle, Demers, Bjugstad, Marchessault

  67. P3 12:51Shot by Skjei, saved by Reimer4v4
  68. P3 13:37Shot by Matheson, saved by Raanta4v4
  69. P3 13:50Shot by Stepan, saved by Reimer4v4
  70. P3 15:25Shot by Jokinen, saved by Raanta
  71. P3 15:27Shot by Trocheck, saved by Raanta
  72. P3 15:28Shot by Trocheck, saved by Raanta
  73. P3 16:30Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Reimer
  74. P3 16:30Petrovic: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Kampfer, Zibanejad, Miller, Skjei · FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Petrovic, Marchessault, Matheson

  75. P3 16:30Miller: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Kampfer, Zibanejad, Miller, Skjei · FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Petrovic, Marchessault, Matheson

  76. P3 16:52Shot by McDonagh, saved by Reimer4v4
  77. P3 17:22Shot by Grabner, saved by Reimer4v4
  78. P3 18:06Shot by Hayes, saved by Reimer4v4
  79. P3 19:32Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Raanta
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 1:15Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Raanta3v3
  83. OT 2:20Shot by Skjei, saved by Reimer3v3
  84. OT 2:26Shot by Nash, saved by Reimer3v3
  85. OT 2:51Shot by Yandle, saved by Raanta3v3
  86. OT 5:00Period end
  87. SO Period start
  88. SO Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Reimerother
  89. SO Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Reimerother
  90. SO Goal by Barkov, unassistedother
  91. SO Period end
  92. SO Final