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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 21, 2017·TD Garden, Boston

Ottawa Senators 3, Boston Bruins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 82% of the time.

BOS winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Marchand, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:40Shot by Vatrano, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 2:59Shot by Karlsson, saved by Rask
  5. P1 4:09Goal by Pyatt (Ceci, Hoffman)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Backes, McQuaid, Marchand, Miller · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci

  6. P1 6:28Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 6:28Backes: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Backes, Marchand, Miller, Miller · OTT Phaneuf, Wingels, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci

  8. P1 7:47Shot by Beleskey, saved by Anderson4v5
  9. P1 7:51Dzingel: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BOS Chara, Beleskey, Spooner, Carlo · OTT Ryan, Stalberg, Brassard, Turris, Wideman

  10. P1 8:03Shot by Wingels, saved by Rask4v4
  11. P1 8:41Shot by Vatrano, saved by Anderson5v4
  12. P1 8:57Goal by Krejci (Spooner, Krug)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Backes, Krejci, Spooner, Krug, Vatrano · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson

  13. P1 12:09Shot by Krug, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 13:09Shot by Karlsson, saved by Rask
  15. P1 15:04Stafford: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Stafford, McQuaid, Spooner, Krug, Vatrano · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Hoffman, Wideman, Pageau

  16. P1 17:00Shot by Beleskey, saved by Anderson4v5
  17. P1 17:01Stalberg: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BOS Chara, Moore, Beleskey, Carlo · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Stalberg, Smith, Wideman

  18. P1 19:37Shot by Burrows, saved by Rask
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:02McQuaid: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Backes, McQuaid, Marchand, Krug · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Stalberg, Brassard, Ceci

  22. P2 1:34Goal by Turris (Karlsson, Hoffman)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Carlo · OTT Ryan, Brassard, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman

  23. P2 2:10Shot by Beleskey, saved by Anderson
  24. P2 3:09Carlo: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Stafford, Spooner, Vatrano, Carlo · OTT Kelly, Methot, Karlsson, Wingels, Dzingel

  25. P2 4:17Shot by Turris, saved by Rask4v5
  26. P2 4:30Shot by Turris, saved by Rask4v5
  27. P2 4:51Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson4v5
  28. P2 5:54Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 6:13Shot by Brassard, saved by Rask
  30. P2 7:16Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 8:03Pyatt: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Nash, Vatrano, Carlo, Acciari · OTT Methot, Pyatt, Karlsson, Hoffman, Pageau

  32. P2 8:08Shot by Krug, saved by Anderson5v4
  33. P2 8:23Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson5v4
  34. P2 8:33Shot by Pageau, saved by Rask5v4
  35. P2 9:15Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson5v4
  36. P2 10:43Shot by Ryan, saved by Rask
  37. P2 10:57Shot by Carlo, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 11:05Shot by Moore, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 11:09Shot by Nash, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 11:39Shot by Stalberg, saved by Rask
  41. P2 13:13Shot by Spooner, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 14:06Shot by Acciari, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 14:11Shot by Krug, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 16:40Shot by Krejci, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 18:27Shot by Brassard, saved by Rask
  46. P2 18:41Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 19:13Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 19:17Shot by Vatrano, saved by Anderson
  49. P2 19:17Vatrano: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Stafford, McQuaid, Spooner, Vatrano · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Stalberg, Turris, Ceci

  50. P2 19:17Ceci: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Stafford, McQuaid, Spooner, Vatrano · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Stalberg, Turris, Ceci

  51. P2 19:42Shot by Marchand, saved by Anderson4v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P2 0:00Phaneuf: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand, Krug · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Smith, Borowiecki

  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:17Goal by Krug, unassisted4v3+19 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Krug, Pastrnak · OTT Methot, Karlsson, Pageau

  56. P3 1:26Shot by Moore, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 1:28Moore: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Moore, Nash, Miller, Miller, Vatrano · OTT Methot, Karlsson, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci

  58. P3 2:20Shot by Karlsson, saved by Rask4v5
  59. P3 3:31Shot by Hoffman, saved by Rask
  60. P3 4:04Goal by Turris (Phaneuf, Wideman)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Moore, Bergeron, Marchand, Carlo · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Turris, Hoffman, Wideman

  61. P3 4:55Shot by Krug, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 5:18Shot by Methot, saved by Rask
  63. P3 5:24Shot by Ryan, saved by Rask
  64. P3 5:37Shot by Turris, saved by Rask
  65. P3 7:03Shot by Hoffman, saved by Rask
  66. P3 8:06Shot by Chara, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 10:02Shot by Hoffman, saved by Rask
  68. P3 12:27Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 13:30Shot by Smith, saved by Rask
  70. P3 13:53Borowiecki: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Beleskey, Spooner, Vatrano, Carlo · OTT Turris, Smith, Borowiecki, Wingels, Wideman

  71. P3 14:23Shot by Krug, saved by Anderson5v4
  72. P3 15:34Shot by Krug, saved by Anderson5v4
  73. P3 15:36Shot by Vatrano, saved by Anderson5v4
  74. P3 16:18Shot by Backes, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 19:35Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Anderson6v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final