Thu, Mar 23, 2017·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Vancouver Canucks 1, St. Louis Blues 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 19 | 011 | 08 | 128 |
| STL | 110 | 112 | 212 | 434 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:38VANHenrik SedinAssists: Alexander Edler, Troy Stecher · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 17:32STLMagnus PaajarviAssists: Ivan Barbashev, Nail Yakupov · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–1
- P2 17:13STLKyle BrodziakGWGAssists: Alex Pietrangelo · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 9:41STLMagnus PaajarviAssists: Patrik Berglund, Carl Gunnarsson · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–3
- P3 17:25STLAlex PietrangeloENAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.68 xG1–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:21STLAlexander Steen: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:46VANJack Skille: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:53VANNikita Tryamkin: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:10STLRobert Bortuzzo: Holding2 min
- P3 1:01STLDavid Perron: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:31VANDrew Shore: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:05STLScottie Upshall: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:20STLRyan Reaves: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:20VANJoseph LaBate: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Berglund won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSkille – Chaput – Goldobin2:05
xG 0.29–0.21 (58%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Chaput8:19
xG 0.29–0.25 (54%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Boucher – Baertschi – Horvat11:10
xG 0.37–0.34 (52%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Sutter2:15
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Stecher9:21
xG 0.54–0.18 (75%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Hutton – Tryamkin11:34
xG 0.22–0.54 (29%)attempts 7–15goals 0–1
- Sbisa – Tanev11:33
xG 0.16–0.57 (22%)attempts 5–13goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestPaajarvi – Yakupov – Barbashev3:47
xG 0.37–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Steen – Tarasenko – Schwartz12:12
xG 0.47–0.20 (70%)attempts 18–7goals 0–1
- Berglund – Perron – Paajarvi3:23
xG 0.30–0.10 (75%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- Upshall – Brodziak – Reaves9:47
xG 0.55–0.41 (57%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGunnarsson – Bortuzzo11:38
xG 0.74–0.14 (84%)attempts 17–3goals 1–0
- Bouwmeester – Pietrangelo15:34
xG 1.04–0.65 (61%)attempts 22–14goals 2–1
- Edmundson – Parayko13:46
xG 0.30–0.52 (36%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).