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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 31, 2017·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, New York Rangers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 66% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:37Shot by Stepan, saved by Murray
  3. P1 1:46Shot by Kreider, saved by Murray
  4. P1 2:54Shot by Rowney, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:40Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Murray
  6. P1 3:52Shot by Nash, saved by Murray
  7. P1 7:31Shot by Klein, saved by Murray
  8. P1 9:12Shot by Grabner, saved by Murray
  9. P1 10:11Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Murray
  10. P1 10:24Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 10:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 10:54Shot by Sheary, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 10:57Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 10:51Shot by Cole, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 13:39Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 13:54Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 13:55Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 15:31Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Murray
  19. P1 16:12Shot by Guentzel, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 16:15Zibanejad: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Staal, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · PIT Crosby, Cole, Schultz, Guentzel, Sheary

  21. P1 17:33Shot by Streit, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  22. P1 18:17Shot by Rust, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 18:13Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  24. P1 18:07Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  25. P1 18:37Kreider: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Skjei · PIT Hainsey, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl, Wilson, Rowney

  26. P1 19:05Shot by Crosby, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:39Goal by Guentzel (Crosby, Kessel)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Holden, Kreider, Hayes, Fast · PIT Streit, Crosby, Kessel, Schultz, Guentzel

  30. P2 1:25Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 1:49Holden: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Holden, Zibanejad, Miller, Skjei · PIT Kessel, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Rust

  32. P2 2:46Shot by Schultz, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  33. P2 2:58Shot by Sheary, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  34. P2 4:35Shot by Stepan, saved by Murray
  35. P2 7:13Shot by Kreider, saved by Murray
  36. P2 7:41Shot by Nash, saved by Murray
  37. P2 7:41Shot by Nash, saved by Murray
  38. P2 8:29Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Murray
  39. P2 8:57Shot by Stepan, saved by Murray
  40. P2 10:07Shot by Miller, saved by Murray
  41. P2 10:13Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Murray
  42. P2 10:46Goal by Crosby (Sheary, Hainsey)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Smith, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · PIT Hainsey, Crosby, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Sheary

  43. P2 11:04Shot by Rust, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 12:31Shot by Wilson, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 13:04Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 13:13Shot by Kreider, saved by Murray
  47. P2 14:35Shot by Rust, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 15:12Shot by Skjei, saved by Murray
  49. P2 15:22Shot by Staal, saved by Murray
  50. P2 18:09Streit: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Holden, Zibanejad, Miller · PIT Streit, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl, Wilson, Rowney

  51. P2 19:33Goal by Holden, unassisted5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Holden, Hayes, Miller, Buchnevich · PIT Cullen, Cole, Kuhnhackl, Ruhwedel

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:15Shot by Rowney, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 3:24Shot by Bonino, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 3:32Shot by Nash, saved by Murray
  57. P3 3:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 5:35Shot by Rowney, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 6:22Shot by Cole, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 6:46Goal by Rust (Cole)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Lindberg, Puempel, Buchnevich · PIT Kessel, Bonino, Cole, Schultz, Rust

  61. P3 7:34Shot by Cole, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 8:50Goal by Nash (Miller, Girardi)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Holden, Zibanejad, Miller · PIT Schultz, Dumoulin, Wilson, Rowney, Guentzel

  63. P3 11:25Shot by Smith, saved by Murray
  64. P3 12:22Shot by Sheary, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 12:30Schultz: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, Smith, Zibanejad, Miller · PIT Crosby, Cole, Schultz, Guentzel, Sheary

  66. P3 13:09Shot by Kreider, saved by Murray5v4
  67. P3 14:39Shot by Hayes, saved by Murray
  68. P3 16:19Shot by Holden, saved by Murray
  69. P3 17:03Shot by Miller, saved by Murray
  70. P3 19:45Shot by Holden, saved by Murray6v5
  71. P3 19:48Goal by Kreider (Miller, Holden)6v5+50 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Holden, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Miller · PIT Hainsey, Crosby, Bonino, Cole, Rust

  72. P3 19:46Shot by Miller, saved by Murray6v5
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 1:43Shot by Guentzel, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  76. OT 2:29Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  77. OT 3:32Shot by Hainsey, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  78. OT 3:47Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Murray3v3
  79. OT 4:27Shot by Grabner, saved by Murray3v3
  80. OT 4:37Shot by Klein, saved by Murray3v3
  81. OT 5:00Period end
  82. SO Period start
  83. SO Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Murrayother
  84. SO Goal by Kessel, unassistedother
  85. SO Goal by Crosby, unassistedother
  86. SO Period end
  87. SO Final