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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 31, 2017·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

San Jose Sharks 2, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 59% of the time.

CGY winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:18Shot by Thornton, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 3:01Shot by Bouma, saved by Jones
  4. P1 3:13Shot by Dillon, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 3:49Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jones
  6. P1 4:08Shot by Hansen, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 4:39Shot by Sorensen, saved by Elliott
  8. P1 4:47Shot by Sorensen, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 4:55Meier: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Versteeg, Stone, Brodie, Ferland · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Haley, Sorensen, Meier

  10. P1 4:55Stone: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Versteeg, Stone, Brodie, Ferland · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Haley, Sorensen, Meier

  11. P1 5:16Shot by Brodie, saved by Jones4v4
  12. P1 5:20Shot by Hamilton, saved by Jones4v4
  13. P1 6:28Shot by Braun, saved by Elliott4v4
  14. P1 8:46Haley: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Stone, Bouma, Brodie, Ferland, Bennett · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Haley, Boedker, Sorensen

  15. P1 8:46Bouma: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Stone, Bouma, Brodie, Ferland, Bennett · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Haley, Boedker, Sorensen

  16. P1 8:49Shot by Hamilton, saved by Jones
  17. P1 9:01Shot by Burns, saved by Elliott
  18. P1 12:01Shot by Boedker, saved by Elliott
  19. P1 12:26Goal by Gaudreau (Bennett)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stone, Brodie, Chiasson, Gaudreau, Bennett · SJS Martin, Burns, Hansen, Boedker, Hertl

  20. P1 13:05Shot by Meier, saved by Elliott
  21. P1 15:34Hamilton: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Giordano, Brouwer, Hamilton, Tkachuk · SJS Martin, Burns, Sorensen, Tierney, Meier

  22. P1 15:43Shot by Giordano, saved by Jones4v5
  23. P1 16:56Shot by Schlemko, saved by Elliott4v5
  24. P1 17:11Shot by Meier, saved by Elliott4v5
  25. P1 19:17Versteeg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Versteeg, Brouwer, Stone, Bartkowski · SJS Marleau, Vlasic, Braun, Tierney, Labanc

  26. P1 19:22Shot by Pavelski, saved by Elliott4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:15Shot by Burns, saved by Elliott4v5
  30. P2 1:19Shot by Stajan, saved by Jones
  31. P2 2:00Shot by Boedker, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 2:29Haley: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Versteeg, Chiasson, Hamilton, Bennett · SJS Schlemko, Haley, Dillon, Sorensen, Meier

  33. P2 2:35Shot by Versteeg, saved by Jones5v4
  34. P2 2:49Shot by Versteeg, saved by Jones5v4
  35. P2 3:09Shot by Brouwer, saved by Jones5v4
  36. P2 3:38Shot by Monahan, saved by Jones5v4
  37. P2 3:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jones5v4
  38. P2 3:39Goal by Monahan (Tkachuk, Versteeg)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Versteeg, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan, Tkachuk · SJS Vlasic, Boedker, Dillon, Tierney

  39. P2 4:07Shot by Pavelski, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 4:52Shot by Pavelski, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 5:29Shot by Chiasson, saved by Jones
  42. P2 6:51Shot by Monahan, saved by Jones
  43. P2 7:20Shot by Backlund, saved by Jones
  44. P2 7:48Shot by Versteeg, saved by Jones
  45. P2 8:25Goal by Vlasic (Haley, Sorensen)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Bartkowski, Ferland, Gaudreau, Monahan · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Haley, Sorensen, Meier

  46. P2 12:32Shot by Bouma, saved by Jones
  47. P2 12:36Shot by Stone, saved by Jones
  48. P2 12:38Goal by Stajan (Stone)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Brouwer, Stone, Bouma, Brodie · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Haley, Sorensen, Meier

  49. P2 12:50Shot by Hansen, saved by Elliott
  50. P2 14:30Stone: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stone, Brodie, Ferland, Gaudreau, Monahan · SJS Marleau, Vlasic, Braun, Tierney, Labanc

  51. P2 15:15Shot by Thornton, saved by Elliott4v5
  52. P2 17:09Goal by Chiasson (Versteeg, Brodie)+4 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Versteeg, Stone, Brodie, Chiasson, Bennett · SJS Hansen, Vlasic, Braun, Boedker, Hertl

  53. P2 17:42Shot by Meier, saved by Elliott
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:26Shot by Burns, saved by Elliott
  57. P3 1:27Shot by Vlasic, saved by Elliott
  58. P3 1:37Shot by Engelland, saved by Dell
  59. P3 2:04Shot by Burns, saved by Elliott
  60. P3 3:23Shot by Sorensen, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 3:26Shot by Vlasic, saved by Elliott
  62. P3 3:45Shot by Ferland, saved by Dell
  63. P3 4:06Shot by Burns, saved by Elliott
  64. P3 4:18Shot by Meier, saved by Elliott
  65. P3 5:19Shot by Backlund, saved by Dell
  66. P3 5:35Shot by Schlemko, saved by Elliott
  67. P3 6:14Shot by Bennett, saved by Dell
  68. P3 6:20Shot by Versteeg, saved by Dell
  69. P3 7:09Shot by Brouwer, saved by Dell
  70. P3 7:22Shot by Schlemko, saved by Elliott
  71. P3 7:51Shot by Frolik, saved by Dell
  72. P3 8:20Shot by Stone, saved by Dell
  73. P3 8:29Shot by Labanc, saved by Elliott
  74. P3 8:49Shot by Burns, saved by Elliott
  75. P3 9:52Shot by Pavelski, saved by Elliott
  76. P3 12:40Shot by Karlsson, saved by Elliott
  77. P3 13:06Goal by Karlsson (Pavelski, Martin)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk · SJS Thornton, Martin, Burns, Pavelski, Karlsson

  78. P3 13:26Shot by Labanc, saved by Elliott
  79. P3 13:53Shot by Stone, saved by Dell
  80. P3 14:47Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Dell
  81. P3 15:05Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Dell
  82. P3 15:35Dillon: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Brouwer, Stone, Bouma, Brodie · SJS Marleau, Martin, Dillon, Sorensen, Labanc

  83. P3 15:54Shot by Versteeg, saved by Dell5v4
  84. P3 17:20Bennett: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Backlund, Hamilton, Bennett, Tkachuk · SJS Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic, Sorensen, Tierney

  85. P3 18:13Shot by Pavelski, saved by Elliott4v6
  86. P3 18:23Shot by Pavelski, saved by Elliott4v6
  87. P3 18:59Shot by Marleau, saved by Elliott4v6
  88. P3 19:26Goal by Bennett (Chiasson, Brodie)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Brouwer, Stone, Brodie, Chiasson, Bennett · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Schlemko, Hertl

  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final