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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 1, 2017·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Ottawa Senators 2, Winnipeg Jets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 79% of the time.

WPG winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:07Shot by Burrows, saved by Hellebuyck
  3. P1 1:09Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hellebuyck
  4. P1 1:41Shot by Wheeler, saved by Condon
  5. P1 6:00Shot by Wideman, saved by Hellebuyck
  6. P1 8:21Shot by Melchiori, saved by Condon
  7. P1 9:47Shot by Tanev, saved by Condon
  8. P1 10:08Shot by Lowry, saved by Condon
  9. P1 11:19Shot by Ryan, saved by Hellebuyck
  10. P1 12:14Shot by Trouba, saved by Condon
  11. P1 12:44Ehlers: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Wheeler, Scheifele, Ehlers, Nogier · OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Pyatt, Borowiecki, Dzingel

  12. P1 12:51Shot by Hoffman, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  13. P1 13:21Turris: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Lowry, Scheifele · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Turris, Hoffman, Stone

  14. P1 16:15Goal by Hoffman (Brassard)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Lowry, Armia, Copp, Nogier · OTT Ryan, Brassard, Hoffman, Wideman, Claesson

  15. P1 17:24Shot by Hoffman, saved by Hellebuyck
  16. P1 18:05Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Condon
  17. P1 18:19Shot by Copp, saved by Condon
  18. P1 18:46Shot by Brassard, saved by Hellebuyck
  19. P1 15:15Shot by Ehlers, saved by Condon5v4
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 2:43Shot by Brassard, saved by Hellebuyck
  23. P2 3:12Shot by Wingels, saved by Hellebuyck
  24. P2 3:29Goal by Wheeler, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Scheifele, Trouba, Morrissey, Ehlers · OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Wingels, Dzingel, Ceci

  25. P2 3:40Goal by Hoffman (Pyatt, Ceci)+17 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Little, Perreault, Nogier, Laine · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci

  26. P2 5:10Shot by Wheeler, saved by Condon
  27. P2 6:39Shot by Trouba, saved by Condon
  28. P2 7:20Shot by Stone, saved by Hellebuyck
  29. P2 8:31Pageau: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Scheifele, Trouba, Morrissey, Ehlers · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci

  30. P2 9:56Shot by Perreault, saved by Condon5v4
  31. P2 10:38Shot by Perreault, saved by Condon
  32. P2 10:41Shot by Trouba, saved by Condon
  33. P2 10:43Goal by Lowry (Trouba)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Perreault, Lowry, Scheifele, Trouba · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci

  34. P2 13:12Shot by Wheeler, saved by Condon
  35. P2 13:54Shot by Pageau, saved by Hellebuyck
  36. P2 13:57Shot by Ryan, saved by Hellebuyck
  37. P2 14:06Shot by Laine, saved by Condon
  38. P2 14:57Shot by Pyatt, saved by Hellebuyck
  39. P2 2:49Shot by Brassard, saved by Hellebuyck
  40. P2 15:21Shot by Stalberg, saved by Hellebuyck
  41. P2 15:41Morrissey: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Scheifele, Trouba, Morrissey, Ehlers · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Stalberg, Brassard, Claesson

  42. P2 17:00Shot by Hoffman, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  43. P2 17:17Shot by Claesson, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:36Shot by Ryan, saved by Hellebuyck
  47. P3 1:59Shot by Claesson, saved by Hellebuyck
  48. P3 4:04Shot by Stalberg, saved by Hellebuyck
  49. P3 5:35Shot by Ryan, saved by Hellebuyck
  50. P3 5:38Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Hellebuyck
  51. P3 5:48Shot by Petan, saved by Condon
  52. P3 7:17Shot by Little, saved by Condon
  53. P3 7:21Shot by Trouba, saved by Condon
  54. P3 7:46Goal by Perreault (Little, Trouba)+35 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Little, Perreault, Trouba, Morrissey, Laine · OTT Burrows, Stalberg, Brassard, Borowiecki, Wideman

  55. P3 11:45Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hellebuyck
  56. P3 12:20Shot by Ehlers, saved by Condon
  57. P3 12:30Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Condon
  58. P3 13:09Shot by Pageau, saved by Hellebuyck
  59. P3 13:49Shot by Burrows, saved by Hellebuyck
  60. P3 14:48Shot by Copp, saved by Condon
  61. P3 15:03Shot by Copp, saved by Condon
  62. P3 16:02Shot by Scheifele, saved by Condon
  63. P3 17:31Shot by Lowry, saved by Condon
  64. P3 18:20Shot by Stone, saved by Hellebuyck
  65. P3 18:34Shot by Hoffman, saved by Hellebuyck
  66. P3 18:46Shot by Turris, saved by Hellebuyck5v6
  67. P3 18:55Shot by Hoffman, saved by Hellebuyck5v6
  68. P3 19:35Goal by Ehlers (Little, Laine)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Little, Morrissey, Ehlers, Laine · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Brassard, Turris, Hoffman, Stone

  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final