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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 2, 2017·Madison Square Garden, New York

Philadelphia Flyers 3, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 72% of the time.

NYR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Hayes, saved by Stolarz
  3. P1 0:33Shot by Hayes, saved by Stolarz
  4. P1 1:27Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Stolarz
  5. P1 1:30Shot by Nash, saved by Stolarz
  6. P1 1:42Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 2:16Shot by Lindberg, saved by Stolarz
  8. P1 2:49Shot by McDonald, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 6:19Shot by Bellemare, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 6:48Shot by Stepan, saved by Stolarz
  11. P1 7:46Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Stolarz
  12. P1 7:46Manning: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Grabner, Smith, Holden, Zibanejad · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Del Zotto, Manning, Konecny

  13. P1 8:34Shot by Provorov, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  14. P1 8:46Shot by Skjei, saved by Stolarz5v4
  15. P1 11:09Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 14:00Glass: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Glass, Girardi, Lindberg, Fast, Skjei · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Gostisbehere, Konecny

  17. P1 14:33Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  18. P1 15:01Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  19. P1 15:32Shot by Provorov, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  20. P1 16:30Shot by Manning, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:33Goal by Filppula (Weal)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Staal, Grabner, Hayes, Vesey · PHI Filppula, MacDonald, Simmonds, Weal, Provorov

  24. P2 0:50Shot by Kreider, saved by Stolarz
  25. P2 2:43Shot by Bellemare, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 3:32Shot by Vesey, saved by Stolarz
  27. P2 3:47Filppula: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Grabner, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · PHI Filppula, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Manning, Weal

  28. P2 3:57Goal by Zibanejad (Zuccarello)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Skjei · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Bellemare, Provorov

  29. P2 7:10Goal by Smith (Zuccarello, Stepan)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Holden, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Del Zotto, Manning, Konecny

  30. P2 8:12Shot by Skjei, saved by Stolarz
  31. P2 8:49Shot by Weal, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 9:15Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 9:51Shot by Stepan, saved by Stolarz
  34. P2 11:22Shot by Miller, saved by Stolarz
  35. P2 15:10Shot by Girardi, saved by Stolarz
  36. P2 16:54Shot by Provorov, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 17:05Shot by Konecny, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 18:16Del Zotto: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Glass, Staal, Lindberg, Fast · PHI MacDonald, Del Zotto, Schenn, Couturier, Konecny

  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:18Shot by Girardi, saved by Stolarz
  42. P3 0:21MacDonald: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Staal, Zibanejad, Miller · PHI MacDonald, Weise, Schenn, Couturier, Provorov

  43. P3 3:19Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Grabner, Smith, Lindberg, Fast · PHI Del Zotto, Schenn, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny

  44. P3 4:06Shot by Hayes, saved by Stolarz4v5
  45. P3 6:59Shot by Lindberg, saved by Stolarz
  46. P3 7:01Goal by Lindberg (Girardi, Zuccarello)+10 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Kreider, Zuccarello, Lindberg, Skjei · PHI Filppula, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Weise, Manning

  47. P3 8:56Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P3 9:04Shot by Kreider, saved by Stolarz
  49. P3 9:10Goal by Kreider (Stepan, Skjei)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Manning, Gostisbehere

  50. P3 9:56Shot by Nash, saved by Stolarz
  51. P3 10:10Shot by Weise, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P3 15:33Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Stolarz
  53. P3 15:46Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 17:54Goal by Schenn (Gostisbehere)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Grabner, Smith, Holden, Hayes, Vesey · PHI Filppula, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  55. P3 18:45Goal by Filppula (Voracek, Gostisbehere)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · PHI Filppula, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  56. P3 18:43Shot by Filppula, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  57. P3 19:15Smith: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Nash, Smith, Holden, Fast, Zibanejad · PHI Filppula, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  58. P3 19:46Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvist4v6
  59. P3 19:59Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvist4v6
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final