Sun, Apr 2, 2017·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Arizona Coyotes 2, Los Angeles Kings 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 110 | 13 | 02 | 215 |
| LAK | 012 | 013 | 110 | 135 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:45ARIAlexander BurmistrovPPAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.43 xG1–0
- P2 3:09ARIAnthony DuclairGWGAssists: Max Domi, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–0
- P3 4:21LAKAlec MartinezPPAssists: Paul LaDue, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 11:31ARIShane Doan: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:46LAKAlec Martinez: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 16:39ARIKevin Connauton: Slashing2 min
- P3 2:44ARILawson Crouse: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 7:59ARIPeter Holland: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 12:14ARIConnor Murphy: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:16ARILuke Schenn: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carter won the faceoff against Jooris
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVrbata – Holland – Crouse8:01
xG 0.44–0.16 (74%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Doan – Perlini – Dvorak10:39
xG 0.29–0.29 (49%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Burmistrov – Duclair – Domi9:47
xG 0.19–0.31 (38%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
- Rieder – Martinook – Jooris8:53
xG 0.02–0.32 (7%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Connauton – DeAngelo10:40
xG 0.29–0.38 (43%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Murphy15:49
xG 0.16–0.43 (27%)attempts 5–13goals 0–0
- Schenn – Ekman-Larsson16:55
xG 0.76–1.03 (42%)attempts 19–19goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Lewis – Shore8:15
xG 0.73–0.12 (86%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Iginla – Carter – Pearson9:45
xG 0.34–0.32 (52%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Kopitar – Toffoli8:56
xG 0.15–0.16 (48%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Clifford – Nolan – Kempe7:24
xG 0.16–0.18 (47%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort15:50
xG 0.56–0.25 (69%)attempts 17–7goals 0–1
- Martinez – McNabb10:50
xG 0.75–0.50 (60%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Muzzin – LaDue13:08
xG 0.29–0.34 (46%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).