Tue, Apr 4, 2017·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 1, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 06 | 014 | 114 | 134 |
| SJS | 210 | 08 | 17 | 325 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:18SJSKevin LabancAssists: Melker Karlsson, Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 0:30SJSJoel WardGWGAssists: Joonas Donskoi, David Schlemko · Slap, 0.03 xG0–2
- P3 3:30VANChris TanevAssists: Brock Boeser, Luca Sbisa · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P3 9:18SJSChris TierneyAssists: Brent Burns, Joonas Donskoi · Deflected, 0.12 xG1–3
Penalties (4)
- P2 1:37SJSJoel Ward: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:10SJSDavid Schlemko: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:19VANNikita Tryamkin: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:26SJSPatrick Marleau: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pavelski won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Sedin – Sedin – Chaput2:01
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Baertschi – Horvat – Boeser12:05
xG 0.23–0.58 (28%)attempts 16–14goals 1–2
- Sutter – Chaput – Boucher8:24
xG 0.18–0.54 (25%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
- Shore – Megna – Molino9:45
xG 0.08–0.47 (14%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Hutton – Tryamkin14:31
xG 0.27–0.70 (28%)attempts 12–16goals 0–1
- Sbisa – Tanev14:02
xG 0.09–0.76 (11%)attempts 11–20goals 1–1
- Edler – Stecher16:03
xG 0.37–1.05 (26%)attempts 16–19goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHansen – Boedker – Hertl8:20
xG 0.59–0.24 (72%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Pavelski – Karlsson – Labanc8:52
xG 0.46–0.16 (75%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Marleau – Ward – Donskoi9:13
xG 0.58–0.31 (65%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Marleau – Pavelski – Karlsson2:45
xG 0.23–0.06 (80%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Dillon13:28
xG 0.75–0.28 (73%)attempts 15–16goals 1–1
- Vlasic – Braun13:28
xG 0.77–0.39 (67%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Martin – Burns15:26
xG 0.70–0.41 (63%)attempts 20–17goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).