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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 7, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

New York Rangers 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 8

Away

New York Rangers

5

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 78% of the time.

TOR winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 2:27Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:30Goal by Moore (Zaitsev, Martin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Moore, Gardiner, Martin, Brown, Zaitsev · NYR Desharnais, Carey, Smith, Skjei, Vesey

  5. P1 2:49Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:40Shot by Kreider, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 3:42Goal by Miller (Kreider, Hayes)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Rosen · NYR Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Kreider, Hayes, Miller

  8. P1 5:12Shot by Hyman, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 5:27Shot by Hyman, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 5:34Goal by Hyman (Nylander)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · NYR Nash, Staal, Zuccarello, DeAngelo, Chytil

  11. P1 6:42Shot by Vesey, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 7:22Shot by McDonagh, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 7:31Shot by Hyman, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 7:41Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 8:06Shot by Marner, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 8:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 9:23Shot by Carey, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 9:44Shattenkirk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Moore, Martin, Rielly, Carrick, Brown · NYR Desharnais, Carey, Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Vesey

  19. P1 10:09Shot by Kadri, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  20. P1 10:42Shot by Nylander, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  21. P1 11:07Goal by Gardiner, unassisted5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander, Matthews · NYR Nash, Smith, Zuccarello, Skjei

  22. P1 11:07Zuccarello: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander, Matthews · NYR Nash, Smith, Zuccarello, Skjei

  23. P1 11:31Shot by Nylander, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  24. P1 11:48Shot by Marleau, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  25. P1 13:59Goal by Zaitsev (Hainsey, Kadri)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Zaitsev · NYR Smith, McDonagh, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich

  26. P1 14:44Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 14:51Shot by Skjei, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 15:41Shot by Nash, saved by Andersen
  29. P1 15:59Shot by Kreider, saved by Andersen
  30. P1 17:19Goal by Hyman, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · NYR Staal, Grabner, Hayes, Miller, DeAngelo

  31. P1 18:09Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P1 18:43Shot by Komarov, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P1 19:16Zaitsev: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · NYR Nash, Smith, Zuccarello, Skjei, Chytil

  34. P1 19:37Goal by Shattenkirk (Zuccarello, Kreider)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Moore, Rielly, Brown · NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Buchnevich

  35. P1 0:00Period end
  36. P2 0:00Period start
  37. P2 0:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Pavelec
  38. P2 1:15Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec
  39. P2 2:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Pavelec
  40. P2 2:23Skjei: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · NYR Desharnais, Carey, Shattenkirk, Skjei, Chytil

  41. P2 3:00Shot by Bozak, saved by Pavelec5v4
  42. P2 3:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Pavelec5v4
  43. P2 4:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Pavelec5v4
  44. P2 5:10Shot by Skjei, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 5:34Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 6:57Nylander: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews, Rosen · NYR Desharnais, Carey, Shattenkirk, Skjei, Chytil

  47. P2 7:43Goal by Zibanejad (Shattenkirk, Zuccarello)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Komarov, Hyman, Zaitsev · NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Buchnevich

  48. P2 8:09Shot by Vesey, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 8:46Shot by Nash, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 10:45Shot by Komarov, saved by Pavelec
  51. P2 11:17Shot by Skjei, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 11:23Shot by Grabner, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 11:35Shot by Brown, saved by Pavelec
  54. P2 11:54Shot by Bozak, saved by Pavelec
  55. P2 12:14Goal by Staal (Zuccarello, McDonagh)5v6+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Marner, Rosen · NYR Staal, Desharnais, Carey, McDonagh, Kreider, Zuccarello

  56. P2 13:32Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 14:06Goal by Zuccarello (Staal, Miller)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner · NYR Staal, Carey, McDonagh, Zuccarello, Miller

  58. P2 14:44Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 15:00Marner: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Moore, Komarov, Gardiner, Carrick, Brown · NYR Nash, Staal, Desharnais, McDonagh, Buchnevich

  60. P2 15:25Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Andersen4v5
  61. P2 15:49Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen4v5
  62. P2 16:46Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Andersen4v5
  63. P2 18:26Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen
  64. P2 18:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Pavelec
  65. P2 19:32Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec
  66. P2 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 0:24Shot by Nash, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 0:57Shot by Nash, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 1:19Shot by Grabner, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 4:52Shot by Carrick, saved by Pavelec
  72. P3 6:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Pavelec
  73. P3 6:26Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 6:33Shot by Kadri, saved by Pavelec
  75. P3 7:17Goal by Bozak (Gardiner, Marner)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner, Zaitsev · NYR Nash, Shattenkirk, Zuccarello, Miller, Skjei

  76. P3 7:17Kreider: Delaying game bench (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner, Zaitsev · NYR Nash, Shattenkirk, Zuccarello, Miller, Skjei

  77. P3 7:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Pavelec5v4
  78. P3 7:42Shot by Bozak, saved by Pavelec5v4
  79. P3 9:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Pavelec5v4
  80. P3 9:12Hayes: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · NYR Staal, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes

  81. P3 9:49Shot by Nylander, saved by Pavelec5v4
  82. P3 9:52Goal by Komarov (Nylander, Matthews)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Komarov, Gardiner, Nylander, Matthews · NYR Nash, Smith, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  83. P3 13:03Shot by Hainsey, saved by Pavelec
  84. P3 13:19Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec
  85. P3 13:39Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Pavelec
  86. P3 14:06Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Andersen
  87. P3 14:38Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  88. P3 15:00Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Andersen
  89. P3 15:34Shot by Carey, saved by Andersen
  90. P3 17:18McDonagh: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · NYR Nash, Staal, McDonagh, Hayes, Zibanejad, Buchnevich

  91. P3 18:30Goal by Kadri (Marleau, Komarov)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Zaitsev · NYR Staal, Grabner, Shattenkirk, Hayes

  92. P3 0:00Period end
  93. P3 0:00Final