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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 7, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Nashville Predators 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.

PIT winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Goal by Malkin (Kessel, Hagelin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · NSH Josi, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  3. P1 1:28Shot by Maatta, saved by Saros
  4. P1 2:30Shot by Ekholm, saved by Murray
  5. P1 3:30Shot by Kessel, saved by Saros
  6. P1 4:21Hartnell: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cole, Schultz, McKegg, Wilson, Sheary · NSH Hartnell, Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Aberg

  7. P1 7:07Shot by Maatta, saved by Saros
  8. P1 8:58Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Murray
  9. P1 9:58Shot by Aberg, saved by Murray
  10. P1 10:46Shot by Smith, saved by Murray
  11. P1 10:53Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Saros
  12. P1 10:54Shot by Crosby, saved by Saros
  13. P1 10:57Goal by Guentzel (Rust, Crosby)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · NSH Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons

  14. P1 13:16Dumoulin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Reaves, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl, Rowney · NSH Hartnell, Josi, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Aberg

  15. P1 10:55Shot by Rust, saved by Saros
  16. P1 13:29Shot by Cole, saved by Saros4v5
  17. P1 14:34Shot by Hartnell, saved by Murray4v5
  18. P1 14:55Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Murray4v5
  19. P1 16:38Shot by Sissons, saved by Murray
  20. P1 18:59Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Saros
  21. P1 19:41Shot by Wilson, saved by Saros
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 3:22Reaves: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Reaves, Schultz, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Rowney · NSH McLeod, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki

  25. P2 3:22Watson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Reaves, Schultz, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Rowney · NSH McLeod, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki

  26. P2 3:40Shot by Bonino, saved by Murray
  27. P2 4:08Shot by Sheary, saved by Saros
  28. P2 5:39Shot by Aberg, saved by Murray
  29. P2 5:52Shot by Bonino, saved by Murray
  30. P2 6:30Shot by Irwin, saved by Murray
  31. P2 6:34Shot by Sissons, saved by Murray
  32. P2 7:59Shot by Josi, saved by Murray
  33. P2 11:04Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  34. P2 11:50Shot by Josi, saved by Murray
  35. P2 12:42Shot by McKegg, saved by Saros
  36. P2 12:52Goal by Reaves (Maatta, Rowney)+6 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Reaves, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Rowney · NSH Hartnell, Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Aberg

  37. P2 12:59Kessel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Hunwick, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta · NSH Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons

  38. P2 14:57Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Murray4v5
  39. P2 16:34Shot by Kessel, saved by Saros
  40. P2 17:13Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  41. P2 17:22Shot by McKegg, saved by Saros
  42. P2 18:27Weber: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Reaves, Schultz, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Rowney · NSH McLeod, Weber, Watson, Bitetto, Aberg

  43. P2 18:54Shot by Malkin, saved by Saros5v4
  44. P2 19:33Shot by Malkin, saved by Saros5v4
  45. P2 19:39Shot by Irwin, saved by Murray5v4
  46. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:33Goal by Maatta (Crosby, Rust)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Rust, Maatta, Guentzel · NSH Bonino, Subban, Weber, Ekholm, Watson

  49. P3 0:47Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Murray
  50. P3 0:58Shot by Malkin, saved by Saros
  51. P3 1:08Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  52. P3 2:49Reaves: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Reaves, Schultz, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Rowney · NSH McLeod, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons

  53. P3 2:49McLeod: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Reaves, Schultz, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Rowney · NSH McLeod, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons

  54. P3 2:49McLeod: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Reaves, Schultz, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Rowney · NSH McLeod, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons

  55. P3 2:49McLeod: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: PIT Reaves, Schultz, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Rowney · NSH McLeod, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons

  56. P3 3:22Crosby: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Kessel, Schultz, Guentzel · NSH Josi, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  57. P3 4:02Shot by Kessel, saved by Saros4v4
  58. P3 4:07Shot by Schultz, saved by Saros4v4
  59. P3 4:47Shot by Forsberg, saved by Murray4v4
  60. P3 5:04Shot by Hartnell, saved by Murray4v5
  61. P3 5:55Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros
  62. P3 6:20Salomaki: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Hagelin, Schultz, Dumoulin, Rust · NSH Ekholm, Irwin, Watson, Salomaki, Aberg

  63. P3 6:23Guentzel: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Kessel, Schultz, Guentzel · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson

  64. P3 6:23Crosby: Cross checking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Kessel, Schultz, Guentzel · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson

  65. P3 6:23Arvidsson: Slashing (2 min)3v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Kessel, Schultz, Guentzel · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson

  66. P3 6:49Shot by Subban, saved by Murray4v4
  67. P3 7:16Shot by Hagelin, saved by Saros4v4
  68. P3 8:08Shot by Aberg, saved by Murray4v4
  69. P3 8:18Shot by Kessel, saved by Saros4v4
  70. P3 8:26Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Saros
  71. P3 8:44Shot by Ekholm, saved by Murray
  72. P3 8:52Shot by Rust, saved by Saros
  73. P3 8:58Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  74. P3 10:12Shot by Smith, saved by Murray
  75. P3 12:27Hartnell: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Reaves, Schultz, Maatta, Guentzel · NSH Hartnell, Josi, Smith, Irwin, Jarnkrok

  76. P3 12:27Hartnell: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Reaves, Schultz, Maatta, Guentzel · NSH Hartnell, Josi, Smith, Irwin, Jarnkrok

  77. P3 12:27Hartnell: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Reaves, Schultz, Maatta, Guentzel · NSH Hartnell, Josi, Smith, Irwin, Jarnkrok

  78. P3 12:27Reaves: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Reaves, Schultz, Maatta, Guentzel · NSH Hartnell, Josi, Smith, Irwin, Jarnkrok

  79. P3 12:27Reaves: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Reaves, Schultz, Maatta, Guentzel · NSH Hartnell, Josi, Smith, Irwin, Jarnkrok

  80. P3 12:27Reaves: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Reaves, Schultz, Maatta, Guentzel · NSH Hartnell, Josi, Smith, Irwin, Jarnkrok

  81. P3 13:24Shot by Salomaki, saved by Murray
  82. P3 13:25Malkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · NSH Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Salomaki

  83. P3 13:29Shot by Forsberg, saved by Murray4v5
  84. P3 16:36Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Murray
  85. P3 17:33Shot by McKegg, saved by Saros
  86. P3 18:37Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  87. P3 18:41Johansen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl, Wilson, Rowney · NSH Weber, Watson, Johansen, Bitetto, Forsberg

  88. P3 18:40Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Saros
  89. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  90. P3 0:00Final