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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 9, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Chicago Blackhawks 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 89% of the time.

TOR winsCHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Komarov, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 1:02Shot by Marleau, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 2:21Shot by Rosen, saved by Forsberg
  5. P1 2:59Shot by Keith, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:46Goal by Rutta (Hayden, Wingels)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner · CHI Toews, Bouma, Hayden, Forsling, Rutta

  7. P1 4:41Shot by Saad, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 5:22Shot by Murphy, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 6:09Shot by Rosen, saved by Forsberg
  10. P1 6:57Shot by Fehr, saved by Forsberg
  11. P1 7:56Shot by Panik, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 7:57Goal by Toews (Panik, Saad)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly, Nylander · CHI Toews, Panik, Saad, Murphy, Kempny

  13. P1 8:24Hainsey: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · CHI Keith, Anisimov, Kane, Murphy, Hartman

  14. P1 12:00Shot by Anisimov, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 12:38Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg
  16. P1 12:44Shot by Sharp, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 13:46Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 16:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  22. P2 1:10Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  23. P2 1:09Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  24. P2 2:06Fehr: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Fehr, Gardiner, Martin, Brown, Zaitsev · CHI Bouma, Wingels, Forsling, DeBrincat, Rutta

  25. P2 3:07Shot by Keith, saved by Andersen4v5
  26. P2 4:11Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 4:18Shot by Bouma, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 5:10Shot by Marleau, saved by Forsberg
  29. P2 5:21Shot by Brown, saved by Forsberg
  30. P2 6:53Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  31. P2 6:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  32. P2 7:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  33. P2 7:31Hartman: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Bozak, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Rosen, Borgman · CHI Keith, Seabrook, Anisimov, Kane, Hartman

  34. P2 7:40Shot by Saad, saved by Andersen5v4
  35. P2 10:20Goal by Zaitsev (Brown, Rosen)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Fehr, Martin, Brown, Zaitsev, Rosen · CHI Sharp, Kane, Murphy, Hartman, Forsling

  36. P2 10:27Shot by Komarov, saved by Forsberg
  37. P2 11:14Panik: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Komarov, Kadri, Rosen, Borgman · CHI Keith, Seabrook, Anisimov, Panik, Kero

  38. P2 12:16Gardiner: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander, Matthews · CHI Keith, Seabrook, Anisimov, Kero

  39. P2 12:30Shot by Rosen, saved by Forsberg4v4
  40. P2 13:49Shot by Keith, saved by Andersen4v5
  41. P2 15:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 15:52Hyman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · CHI Sharp, Kero, DeBrincat, Kempny, Rutta

  43. P2 17:48Shot by Hartman, saved by Andersen4v5
  44. P2 17:53Hartman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Kadri, Hyman, Rielly, Matthews · CHI Anisimov, Panik, Hartman, DeBrincat, Rutta

  45. P2 17:58Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Forsberg5v4
  46. P2 18:07Rosen: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Rosen · CHI Saad, Forsling, Kero, Rutta

  47. P2 18:21Shot by Gardiner, saved by Forsberg4v4
  48. P2 19:03Shot by Bozak, saved by Forsberg5v4
  49. P2 19:03Keith: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Bozak, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · CHI Keith, Seabrook, Toews, Kane

  50. P2 19:13Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg4v3
  51. P2 19:18Shot by Bozak, saved by Forsberg4v3
  52. P2 19:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Forsberg4v3
  53. P2 19:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Forsberg4v4
  54. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:01Shot by Kero, saved by Andersen5v4
  57. P3 1:08Shot by Bozak, saved by Forsberg
  58. P3 3:49Shot by Hyman, saved by Forsberg
  59. P3 3:55Shot by Rielly, saved by Forsberg
  60. P3 5:54Shot by Toews, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 6:34Borgman: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Fehr, Martin, Brown, Rosen, Borgman · CHI Sharp, Forsling, Kero, DeBrincat, Rutta

  62. P3 7:52Goal by Panik (Forsling, Rutta)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Fehr, Rielly, Brown · CHI Panik, Saad, Forsling, DeBrincat, Rutta

  63. P3 8:38Shot by Marleau, saved by Forsberg
  64. P3 8:41Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg
  65. P3 8:48Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg
  66. P3 8:53Shot by Rielly, saved by Forsberg
  67. P3 10:03Shot by Borgman, saved by Forsberg
  68. P3 10:11Seabrook: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Rosen, Borgman · CHI Sharp, Keith, Seabrook, Kero, DeBrincat

  69. P3 10:24Shot by Saad, saved by Andersen5v4
  70. P3 10:46Shot by Kadri, saved by Forsberg5v4
  71. P3 10:54Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg5v4
  72. P3 13:00Goal by Brown (Zaitsev, Hainsey)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Brown, Zaitsev · CHI Keith, Kane, Panik, Kero, Rutta

  73. P3 14:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Forsberg
  74. P3 14:22Rutta: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Matthews · CHI Toews, Panik, Saad, Forsling, Rutta

  75. P3 15:29Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg5v4
  76. P3 15:42Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Rielly)5v4+41 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · CHI Keith, Seabrook, Wingels, Hayden

  77. P3 16:36Gardiner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · CHI Keith, Seabrook, Anisimov, Panik, Hartman

  78. P3 16:47Shot by Toews, saved by Andersen4v5
  79. P3 17:46Shot by Anisimov, saved by Andersen4v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 1:00Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg3v3
  83. OT 1:20Shot by Gardiner, saved by Forsberg3v3
  84. OT 3:43Goal by Matthews, unassisted3v3+43 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Nylander, Matthews · CHI Toews, Kane, Forsling

  85. OT 3:43Period end3v3
  86. OT 3:43Final3v3