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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 10, 2017·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Philadelphia Flyers 5, Nashville Predators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 75% of the time.

NSH winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 1:10Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 2:31Shot by Subban, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 2:32Shot by Salomaki, saved by Elliott
  6. P1 2:33Shot by Watson, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 2:46Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 2:57Giroux: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Emelin, Subban, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Couturier, Provorov

  9. P1 4:17Goal by Smith (Fiala, Ekholm)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Ekholm, Smith, Fiala, Arvidsson · PHI Gudas, Couturier, Leier, Hagg

  10. P1 6:28Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Elliott
  11. P1 8:15Shot by Johansen, saved by Elliott
  12. P1 8:14Shot by Emelin, saved by Elliott
  13. P1 10:29Shot by Weise, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 12:44Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 14:28Shot by Couturier, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 16:03Shot by Ekholm, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 17:27Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 17:30Shot by Gudas, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 18:59Shot by Filppula, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 19:01Shot by Weal, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 19:20Smith: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Emelin, Subban, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson · PHI Filppula, MacDonald, Simmonds, Weal, Provorov

  22. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:03Shot by Couturier, saved by Rinne4v5
  25. P2 1:34Shot by Provorov, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 2:58Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 3:07Shot by Aberg, saved by Elliott
  28. P2 3:08Goal by Hartnell (Aberg)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Bonino, Weber, Irwin, Aberg · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Couturier, Provorov

  29. P2 3:48Shot by Hagg, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 3:49Konecny: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Salomaki, Forsberg, Girard · PHI Weise, Gostisbehere, Hagg, Konecny, Patrick

  31. P2 3:49Girard: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Salomaki, Forsberg, Girard · PHI Weise, Gostisbehere, Hagg, Konecny, Patrick

  32. P2 4:14Shot by Provorov, saved by Rinne4v4
  33. P2 5:11Goal by Bonino (Ekholm, Subban)4v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Aberg · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Hagg

  34. P2 6:27Shot by MacDonald, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 7:32Shot by Laughton, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 7:32Weber: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Bonino, Weber, Aberg, Girard · PHI Laughton, Gostisbehere, Leier, Raffl, Hagg

  37. P2 8:28Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rinne4v5
  38. P2 8:38Shot by Filppula, saved by Rinne4v5
  39. P2 10:19Goal by MacDonald (Laughton, Leier)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Girard · PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Laughton, Leier, Hagg

  40. P2 10:35Goal by Patrick (Weise)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson, Girard · PHI Weise, Gudas, Sanheim, Konecny, Patrick

  41. P2 11:14Shot by Gudas, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 11:42Shot by Aberg, saved by Elliott
  43. P2 11:46Shot by Hartnell, saved by Elliott
  44. P2 12:23Subban: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Emelin, Bonino, Subban, Aberg, Forsberg · PHI Gudas, Laughton, Leier, Raffl, Sanheim

  45. P2 14:38Subban: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Ekholm, Irwin, Watson, Salomaki · PHI Gudas, Laughton, Leier, Raffl, Sanheim

  46. P2 15:04Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne4v5
  47. P2 15:05Goal by Filppula (Voracek, Gostisbehere)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson · PHI Filppula, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Gostisbehere

  48. P2 15:54Shot by Hartnell, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 16:09Shot by Hartnell, saved by Elliott
  50. P2 17:15Shot by Sanheim, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 17:47Shot by Bonino, saved by Elliott
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:06Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 4:39Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 4:56Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Elliott
  57. P3 5:03Goal by Konecny (Weal, Gostisbehere)+31 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Emelin, Subban, Smith, Jarnkrok, Fiala · PHI Weal, Gostisbehere, Hagg, Konecny, Patrick

  58. P3 5:44Shot by McLeod, saved by Elliott
  59. P3 6:18Hartnell: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Bonino, Ekholm, Aberg, Girard · PHI Gudas, Laughton, Leier, Raffl, Sanheim

  60. P3 6:48Goal by Filppula (Giroux, Voracek)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson · PHI Filppula, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Gostisbehere

  61. P3 7:38Goal by Forsberg (Johansen, Girard)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson, Girard · PHI Gudas, Laughton, Leier, Raffl, Sanheim

  62. P3 8:30Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Elliott
  63. P3 8:32Shot by Ekholm, saved by Elliott
  64. P3 9:18Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Elliott
  65. P3 10:39Shot by Bonino, saved by Elliott
  66. P3 13:34Shot by Hartnell, saved by Elliott
  67. P3 16:02Shot by Konecny, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 16:15Shot by Bonino, saved by Elliott
  69. P3 16:19Shot by Forsberg, saved by Elliott
  70. P3 16:33Shot by Voracek, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 17:19Weise: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Fiala · PHI Filppula, MacDonald, Simmonds, Weise, Provorov

  72. P3 17:19MacDonald: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Fiala · PHI Filppula, MacDonald, Simmonds, Weise, Provorov

  73. P3 18:28Shot by Fiala, saved by Elliottother
  74. P3 18:43Goal by Hartnell (Forsberg, Subban)other+52 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Subban, Johansen, Forsberg, Fiala, Arvidsson · PHI Filppula, Gudas, Provorov

  75. P3 18:43Raffl: Delaying game bench (2 min)other

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Subban, Johansen, Forsberg, Fiala, Arvidsson · PHI Filppula, Gudas, Provorov

  76. P3 19:08Shot by Forsberg, saved by Elliott5v3
  77. P3 19:24Goal by Forsberg (Subban, Fiala)5v4+40 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Subban, Johansen, Forsberg, Fiala, Arvidsson · PHI MacDonald, Weise, Couturier, Provorov

  78. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  79. P3 0:00Final5v6