Sat, Oct 14, 2017·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Boston Bruins 6, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 18 | 311 | 210 | 629 |
| ARI | 110 | 09 | 112 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:31ARIMario KempeAssists: Anthony Duclair, Luke Schenn · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 16:07BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Zdeno Chara, Brandon Carlo · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 1:39BOSJake DeBruskPPAssists: David Krejci, Charlie McAvoy · Slap, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 5:03BOSZdeno CharaGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.28 xG3–1
- P2 16:21BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Zdeno Chara, Adam McQuaid · Backhand, 0.13 xG4–1
- P3 16:25ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Jason Demers, Derek Stepan · Slap, 0.08 xG4–2
- P3 16:48BOSTim SchallerAssists: Danton Heinen, Sean Kuraly · Wrist, 0.30 xG5–2
- P3 18:37BOSAnders BjorkPPAssists: Danton Heinen, Jake DeBrusk · Wrist, 0.09 xG6–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 4:50ARIJordan Martinook: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:28BOSDavid Pastrnak: Slashing2 min
- P2 0:28ARIJason Demers: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 8:33BOSZdeno Chara: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:12BOSTorey Krug: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 18:00ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nash won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Schaller – Heinen10:57
xG 1.01–0.31 (77%)attempts 19–10goals 1–0
- Marchand – Nash – Pastrnak12:34
xG 0.51–0.24 (68%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
- Beleskey – Spooner – Czarnik7:47
xG 0.24–0.14 (63%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Krejci – Bjork – DeBrusk12:59
xG 0.18–0.88 (17%)attempts 11–21goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Carlo15:42
xG 1.48–0.54 (73%)attempts 21–15goals 3–0
- Miller – McAvoy16:13
xG 0.40–0.45 (47%)attempts 13–17goals 0–0
- McQuaid – Krug14:20
xG 0.22–0.59 (27%)attempts 14–18goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKempe – Cousins – Duclair8:06
xG 0.28–0.05 (85%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Richardson – Kempe – Rieder2:52
xG 0.19–0.11 (62%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Stepan – Martinook – Duclair4:49
xG 0.13–0.11 (53%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Cousins – Domi – Keller3:20
xG 0.15–0.14 (51%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Schenn13:15
xG 0.59–0.48 (55%)attempts 20–13goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Ekman-Larsson3:12
xG 0.27–0.18 (59%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Clendening14:09
xG 0.50–0.45 (53%)attempts 15–14goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).