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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 19, 2017·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Calgary Flames 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.

CGY winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:13Shot by Pesce, saved by Smith
  3. P1 3:37Shot by Jooris, saved by Smith
  4. P1 4:24Shot by Backlund, saved by Darling
  5. P1 4:47Shot by Frolik, saved by Darling
  6. P1 5:37Shot by McGinn, saved by Smith
  7. P1 5:45Shot by Ferland, saved by Darling
  8. P1 5:54Shot by Jagr, saved by Darling
  9. P1 6:18Shot by Williams, saved by Smith
  10. P1 8:51Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith
  11. P1 9:26Shot by Faulk, saved by Smith
  12. P1 10:01Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Darling
  13. P1 10:22Shot by Hamilton, saved by Darling
  14. P1 11:16Shot by Brouwer, saved by Darling
  15. P1 13:19Hamilton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk · CAR Williams, Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce

  16. P1 14:34Shot by Backlund, saved by Darling4v5
  17. P1 14:53Shot by Faulk, saved by Smith4v5
  18. P1 16:30Shot by Hamilton, saved by Darling
  19. P1 17:32Shot by Lindholm, saved by Smith
  20. P1 19:56Hamonic: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie, Gaudreau · CAR Kruger, Faulk, Nordstrom, Jooris, Hanifin

  21. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:27Shot by Ryan, saved by Smith4v5
  24. P2 1:28Shot by Ryan, saved by Smith4v5
  25. P2 1:40Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith4v5
  26. P2 3:31Shot by Brodie, saved by Darling
  27. P2 4:07Shot by Aho, saved by Smith
  28. P2 4:37Shot by Ryan, saved by Smith
  29. P2 4:48Goal by Skinner (Ryan, McGinn)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stone, Bartkowski, Ferland, Gaudreau, Bennett · CAR Skinner, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan

  30. P2 5:35Shot by Williams, saved by Smith
  31. P2 5:53Shot by Monahan, saved by Darling
  32. P2 6:24Shot by Jagr, saved by Darling
  33. P2 6:29Shot by Brodie, saved by Darling
  34. P2 8:16Shot by Pesce, saved by Smith
  35. P2 8:38Shot by Staal, saved by Smith
  36. P2 9:15Shot by Faulk, saved by Smith
  37. P2 10:39Tkachuk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Stone, Bartkowski, Tkachuk · CAR Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Jooris

  38. P2 11:38Shot by Aho, saved by Smith4v5
  39. P2 13:28Shot by Pesce, saved by Smith
  40. P2 13:47Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Smith
  41. P2 13:48Shot by Fleury, saved by Smith
  42. P2 13:50Bennett: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Versteeg, Bartkowski, Ferland, Bennett · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Rask, Jooris, van Riemsdyk, Fleury

  43. P2 14:57Williams: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Stone · CAR Williams, Skinner, Rask, Teravainen, Hanifin

  44. P2 15:46Shot by Brodie, saved by Darling4v4
  45. P2 18:23Shot by Hamilton, saved by Darling
  46. P2 19:57Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Smith
  47. P2 0:00Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie, Tkachuk · CAR Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, Jooris, van Riemsdyk

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:07Shot by Rask, saved by Smith4v5
  51. P3 1:09Goal by Williams (Skinner, Hanifin)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Giordano, Brouwer, Stone · CAR Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin, Ryan

  52. P3 2:09Shot by Staal, saved by Smith
  53. P3 3:05Shot by Lindholm, saved by Smith
  54. P3 3:07Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith
  55. P3 5:07Shot by Hamilton, saved by Darling
  56. P3 5:37Shot by Brodie, saved by Darling
  57. P3 6:00Shot by Bennett, saved by Darling
  58. P3 6:37Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Darling
  59. P3 7:34Shot by Jagr, saved by Darling
  60. P3 7:45Shot by Jagr, saved by Darling
  61. P3 7:52Shot by Hamilton, saved by Darling
  62. P3 7:57Backlund: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk · CAR Williams, Staal, Teravainen, Fleury, Hanifin

  63. P3 9:50Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Smith4v5
  64. P3 10:00Shot by Pesce, saved by Smith
  65. P3 11:24Shot by Teravainen, saved by Smith
  66. P3 12:44Shot by Giordano, saved by Darling
  67. P3 14:06Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Darling
  68. P3 16:32Goal by Monahan (Gaudreau, Jagr)+10 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jagr, Hamonic, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · CAR Williams, Rask, Pesce, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  69. P3 17:08Shot by Faulk, saved by Smith
  70. P3 18:25Shot by Slavin, saved by Smith
  71. P3 19:51Shot by Monahan, saved by Darling6v5
  72. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  73. P3 0:00Final6v5