Sat, Oct 28, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
Arizona Coyotes 3, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 19 | 213 | 015 | 337 |
| NJD | 110 | 19 | 26 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:37ARIChristian FischerPPAssists: Christian Dvorak, Jason Demers · Snap, 0.21 xG1–0
- P1 11:55NJDBrian GibbonsUnassisted · Backhand, 0.35 xG1–1
- P2 11:09NJDTaylor HallAssists: Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 11:57ARIBrendan PerliniAssists: Alex Goligoski, Mario Kempe · Snap, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 15:13ARIClayton KellerUnassisted · Snap, 0.11 xG3–2
- P3 4:30NJDTaylor HallPPAssists: Adam Henrique, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.05 xG3–3
- P3 15:47NJDJesper BrattPPGWGAssists: Taylor Hall, Will Butcher · Snap, 0.08 xG3–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:04NJDJesper Bratt: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 11:44NJDPavel Zacha: Slashing2 min
- P1 11:55ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P1 15:28NJDPavel Zacha: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:33NJDDrew Stafford: Interference2 min
- P3 4:19ARIMax Domi: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 10:54NJDBrian Gibbons: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:26ARIChristian Fischer: Roughing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stepan won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Martinook – Fischer11:13
xG 0.67–0.24 (74%)attempts 15–6goals 0–1
- Stepan – Rieder – Keller7:30
xG 0.35–0.11 (77%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Kempe – Rinaldo – Rieder4:11
xG 0.11–0.09 (54%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Stepan – Domi – Keller3:46
xG 0.11–0.12 (47%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson13:30
xG 0.55–0.31 (64%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Schenn – Connauton10:46
xG 0.23–0.42 (35%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Goligoski – Hjalmarsson19:16
xG 0.57–0.83 (41%)attempts 19–15goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestColeman – Noesen – Wood3:07
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Hayes – Henrique – Gibbons2:48
xG 0.02–0.09 (16%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Hayes – Gibbons – Zacha4:26
xG 0.04–0.18 (19%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Stafford – Hall – Hischier9:55
xG 0.10–0.34 (23%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Butcher5:16
xG 0.54–0.22 (71%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Prout – Butcher7:46
xG 0.41–0.22 (65%)attempts 6–6goals 1–1
- Lovejoy – Mueller2:10
xG 0.07–0.02 (81%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).