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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 1, 2017·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Edmonton Oilers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 55% of the time.

EDM winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by McDavid, saved by Murray
  3. P1 3:06Shot by Letang, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 3:17Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 4:32Shot by Lucic, saved by Murray
  6. P1 6:31Shot by Reaves, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 6:32Shot by McKegg, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 6:51Shot by Sheary, saved by Talbot
  9. P1 6:49Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Talbot
  10. P1 7:03Shot by Crosby, saved by Talbot
  11. P1 8:39Shot by Auvitu, saved by Murray
  12. P1 9:48Crosby: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Maroon, Larsson, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid · PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Ruhwedel, Sheary

  13. P1 10:18Shot by Caggiula, saved by Murray5v4
  14. P1 10:21Shot by Caggiula, saved by Murray5v4
  15. P1 11:13Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Murray5v4
  16. P1 11:49Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Murray
  17. P1 11:50Shot by Nurse, saved by Murray
  18. P1 12:00Shot by Larsson, saved by Murray
  19. P1 13:11Shot by Archibald, saved by Talbot
  20. P1 14:40Shot by Crosby, saved by Talbot
  21. P1 15:37Shot by Benning, saved by Murray
  22. P1 16:32Shot by Letang, saved by Talbot
  23. P1 17:57Shot by Auvitu, saved by Murray
  24. P1 19:18Nugent-Hopkins: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Lucic, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Benning, Yamamoto · PIT Reaves, Cole, McKegg, Corrado, Archibald

  25. P1 19:45Shot by Larsson, saved by Murray4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:43Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Talbot4v5
  29. P2 0:56Goal by Hornqvist (Letang, Kessel)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Klefbom, Benning, Draisaitl, Caggiula · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel

  30. P2 1:12Shot by Caggiula, saved by Murray
  31. P2 1:54Shot by Klefbom, saved by Murray
  32. P2 2:44Guentzel: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Russell, Lucic, Nugent-Hopkins, Auvitu, Yamamoto · PIT Malkin, Cole, Rust, Corrado, Guentzel

  33. P2 2:44Guentzel: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: EDM Russell, Lucic, Nugent-Hopkins, Auvitu, Yamamoto · PIT Malkin, Cole, Rust, Corrado, Guentzel

  34. P2 3:58Shot by Strome, saved by Murray5v4
  35. P2 5:06Shot by Benning, saved by Murray5v4
  36. P2 5:30Shot by Benning, saved by Murray5v4
  37. P2 6:36Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Maroon, McDavid)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Letestu, Maroon, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, McDavid · PIT Dumoulin, Sheahan, Rust, Maatta

  38. P2 6:40Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 7:26Goal by Draisaitl (McDavid)+22 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Maroon, Larsson, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta, Sheary

  40. P2 8:34Shot by Cole, saved by Talbot
  41. P2 10:30Shot by McDavid, saved by Murray
  42. P2 11:44Shot by Letang, saved by Talbot
  43. P2 12:02Kassian: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Letestu, Kassian, Larsson, Nurse, Caggiula · PIT Malkin, Letang, Rust, Ruhwedel, Sheary

  44. P2 12:20Nurse: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: EDM Letestu, Pakarinen, Larsson, Nurse · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel

  45. P2 12:29Shot by Crosby, saved by Talbot3v5
  46. P2 12:38Shot by Malkin, saved by Talbot3v5
  47. P2 13:11Shot by Malkin, saved by Talbot3v5
  48. P2 13:20Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Talbot3v5
  49. P2 14:04Shot by Malkin, saved by Talbot4v5
  50. P2 14:11Shot by Kassian, saved by Murray4v5
  51. P2 14:57Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Talbot
  52. P2 15:08Shot by Nurse, saved by Murray
  53. P2 16:02Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Talbot
  54. P2 17:49Shot by Malkin, saved by Talbot
  55. P2 18:47Shot by Caggiula, saved by Murray
  56. P2 19:17Shot by Nurse, saved by Murray
  57. P2 19:38Goal by Sheary (Crosby, Maatta)+25 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Maroon, Larsson, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta, Sheary

  58. P2 19:56Shot by Klefbom, saved by Murray
  59. P2 19:59Shot by Klefbom, saved by Murray
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:16Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Murray
  63. P3 0:22Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Talbot
  64. P3 1:56Maatta: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Russell, Strome, Slepyshev, Caggiula, Auvitu · PIT Letang, Kessel, Sheahan, Maatta, Guentzel

  65. P3 2:02Shot by Maroon, saved by Murray5v4
  66. P3 2:01Shot by Caggiula, saved by Murray5v4
  67. P3 3:32Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Murray5v4
  68. P3 3:42Shot by Benning, saved by Murray5v4
  69. P3 4:39Shot by Sheary, saved by Talbot
  70. P3 4:41Guentzel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Russell, Strome, Slepyshev, Caggiula, Auvitu · PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Corrado, Guentzel

  71. P3 4:48Shot by Rust, saved by Talbot5v4
  72. P3 6:57Shot by Kassian, saved by Murray
  73. P3 10:14Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Talbot
  74. P3 11:27Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Talbot
  75. P3 12:04Nugent-Hopkins: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Lucic, Pakarinen, Nugent-Hopkins, Benning, Auvitu · PIT Kessel, Cole, Sheahan, Corrado, Guentzel

  76. P3 12:23Goal by Malkin (Kessel, Letang)4v5+38 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kassian, Larsson, Nurse, Caggiula · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel

  77. P3 14:05Shot by Larsson, saved by Murray
  78. P3 15:49Shot by Strome, saved by Murray
  79. P3 16:02Shot by Benning, saved by Murray
  80. P3 19:00Shot by Maroon, saved by Murray6v5
  81. P3 19:46Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Murray6v5
  82. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  83. P3 0:00Final6v5