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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 9, 2017·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Detroit Red Wings 3, Calgary Flames 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 66% of the time.

CGY winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Nielsen, saved by Smith
  3. P1 0:52Shot by Green, saved by Smith
  4. P1 1:11Shot by Mantha, saved by Smith
  5. P1 1:35Shot by Ericsson, saved by Smith
  6. P1 2:06Shot by Frolik, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 4:25Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 4:59Shot by Stone, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 5:18Mantha: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Stone, Brodie, Tkachuk · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Jensen, Mantha

  10. P1 5:45Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mrazek5v4
  11. P1 7:44Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Smith
  12. P1 7:56Shot by Mantha, saved by Smith
  13. P1 9:15Shot by Jagr, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 9:15Goal by Jankowski (Jagr, Bennett)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jagr, Stone, Brodie, Jankowski, Bennett · DET Daley, Abdelkader, Tatar, Ouellet, Larkin

  15. P1 10:30Shot by Daley, saved by Smith
  16. P1 10:49Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Smith
  17. P1 11:12Shot by Frolik, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 11:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 11:47Shot by Giordano, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 12:57Shot by Lazar, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 13:52Shot by Ferland, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 13:56Goal by Gaudreau (Monahan)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Jensen, Mantha

  23. P1 17:39Shot by Backlund, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 18:06Shot by Green, saved by Smith
  25. P1 19:25Shot by Stone, saved by Mrazek
  26. P1 19:38Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mrazek
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Daley, saved by Smith
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:20Shot by Helm, saved by Smith
  31. P2 1:37Shot by Helm, saved by Smith
  32. P2 3:02Shot by Bennett, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 3:12Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith
  34. P2 4:01Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith
  35. P2 4:26Shot by Hamilton, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 4:39Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 5:03Shot by Ouellet, saved by Smith
  38. P2 5:33Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 6:02Goal by Ferland (Backlund)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Stone, Brodie, Ferland, Tkachuk · DET Daley, Ericsson, Tatar, Mantha, Larkin

  40. P2 8:04Bennett: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Jagr, Jankowski, Kulak, Bennett, Andersson · DET Green, Abdelkader, Wilson, Ouellet, Athanasiou

  41. P2 8:09Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Smith4v5
  42. P2 8:17Shot by Green, saved by Smith4v5
  43. P2 8:43Goal by Frk (Mantha, Larkin)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Stone · DET Green, Frk, Athanasiou, Mantha, Larkin

  44. P2 11:28Shot by Tatar, saved by Smith
  45. P2 11:31Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith
  46. P2 11:41Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith
  47. P2 12:23Goal by Tkachuk (Kulak, Backlund)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Kulak, Andersson, Tkachuk · DET Kronwall, Jensen, Frk, Athanasiou, Mantha

  48. P2 12:49Shot by Hamilton, saved by Mrazek
  49. P2 13:09Giordano: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan · DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening

  50. P2 13:23Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Smith4v5
  51. P2 14:57Brouwer: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Brouwer, Stone, Brodie, Monahan · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Tatar

  52. P2 14:57Abdelkader: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Brouwer, Stone, Brodie, Monahan · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Tatar

  53. P2 15:02Shot by Green, saved by Smith4v5
  54. P2 15:49Goal by Nielsen (Mantha, Green)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jagr, Giordano, Stone, Brodie, Jankowski · DET Daley, Nielsen, Nyquist, Jensen, Mantha

  55. P2 17:01Goal by Jagr (Gaudreau, Kulak)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Jagr, Gaudreau, Jankowski, Kulak, Andersson · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Tatar, Larkin

  56. P2 17:55Shot by Hamilton, saved by Mrazek
  57. P2 18:06Shot by Ferland, saved by Mrazek
  58. P2 18:12Shot by Tatar, saved by Smith
  59. P2 19:02Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Smith
  60. P2 19:09Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Smith
  61. P2 19:14Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Smith
  62. P2 19:14Shot by Nyquist, saved by Smith
  63. P2 19:55Shot by Ericsson, saved by Smith
  64. P2 19:56Goal by Mantha (Ericsson, Nielsen)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Hamilton, Monahan, Tkachuk · DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Nyquist, Jensen, Mantha

  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:33Shot by Giordano, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 2:01Hamilton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Versteeg, Brouwer, Hamilton, Lazar · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Helm, Jensen, Frk

  69. P3 3:16Shot by Tatar, saved by Smith4v5
  70. P3 3:42Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith4v5
  71. P3 5:44Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Mrazek
  72. P3 6:32Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Mrazek
  73. P3 7:17Frk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Backlund, Kulak, Bennett, Andersson · DET Daley, Ericsson, Frk, Mantha, Larkin

  74. P3 8:32Shot by Nielsen, saved by Smith5v4
  75. P3 9:19Shot by Backlund, saved by Mrazek
  76. P3 9:20Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Mrazek
  77. P3 9:29Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Smith
  78. P3 9:33Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith
  79. P3 11:35Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Smith
  80. P3 12:33Shot by Larkin, saved by Smith
  81. P3 14:02Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Smith
  82. P3 14:52Shot by Tatar, saved by Smith
  83. P3 16:31Shot by Nielsen, saved by Smith
  84. P3 17:13Shot by Monahan, saved by Mrazek
  85. P3 17:37Goal by Gaudreau (Monahan)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan · DET Green, Glendening, Frk, Athanasiou, Mantha, Larkin

  86. P3 19:06Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Smith
  87. P3 19:48Shot by Ferland, saved by Mrazek
  88. P3 19:50Shot by Monahan, saved by Mrazek
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final