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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 11, 2017·Ericsson Globe, StockholmNeutral site

Colorado Avalanche 3, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 88% of the time.

OTT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Pyatt, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 0:52Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 1:31Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 2:23Shot by Oduya, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 3:47Shot by Claesson, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 4:45Brassard: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel, Claesson · COL Comeau, Nieto, Bigras, Compher, Mironov

  8. P1 5:24Shot by Girard, saved by Condon4v5
  9. P1 6:29Shot by Johnson, saved by Condon4v5
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 8:05Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 8:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Condon
  13. P1 11:12Shot by Ceci, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 11:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Condon
  15. P1 12:52Mironov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Burrows, Phaneuf, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone · COL Johnson, Wilson, Grimaldi, Andrighetto, Mironov

  16. P1 13:13Goal by Comeau (Barberio, Johnson)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Wideman · COL Comeau, Johnson, Barberio, Nieto

  17. P1 14:22Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Bernier5v4
  18. P1 14:58Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  19. P1 15:12Shot by Barrie, saved by Condon
  20. P1 15:44Shot by Ceci, saved by Bernier
  21. P1 16:46Shot by Paul, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 18:28Shot by Yakupov, saved by Condon
  23. P1 18:51Bigras: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Burrows, Phaneuf, Hoffman, Duchene · COL Yakupov, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Bigras, Mironov

  24. P1 19:08Shot by Stone, saved by Bernier5v4
  25. P1 19:10Shot by DiDomenico, saved by Bernier5v4
  26. P1 19:54Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier5v4
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Wideman, saved by Bernier5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:12Goal by Hoffman (Brassard, Karlsson)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone · COL Comeau, Johnson, Barberio, Nieto

  31. P2 3:16Shot by Dzingel, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 3:39Shot by Ceci, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 4:07Shot by DiDomenico, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 6:47Shot by Bigras, saved by Condon
  35. P2 6:54Pyatt: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Thompson, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  36. P2 8:34Goal by Kerfoot (Johnson, Andrighetto)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Thompson, Claesson, Paul · COL Johnson, Wilson, Yakupov, Kerfoot, Andrighetto

  37. P2 9:16Goal by Stone (Karlsson)+23 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone, Claesson · COL Comeau, Johnson, Barberio, Nieto, Compher

  38. P2 10:36Goal by Andrighetto (Kerfoot, Mironov)+23 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Phaneuf, DiDomenico, Duchene, Dzingel · COL Johnson, Barberio, Yakupov, Kerfoot, Andrighetto

  39. P2 11:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 11:46Shot by Wideman, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 12:20Shot by Barrie, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 13:02Shot by Stone, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 13:08Shot by Claesson, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 16:44Barberio: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone · COL Johnson, Barberio, Yakupov, Kerfoot, Andrighetto

  45. P2 17:00Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier5v4
  46. P2 17:01Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier5v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:25Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Anderson
  50. P3 1:36Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  51. P3 2:30Shot by Paul, saved by Bernier
  52. P3 2:38Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 3:27Shot by Stone, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 3:38Shot by Yakupov, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 3:48Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 4:00Barberio: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene · COL Johnson, Barberio, Grimaldi, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  57. P3 4:29Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier5v4
  58. P3 5:31Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier5v4
  59. P3 7:01Goal by Oduya (Thompson, Pageau)+32 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Thompson, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci · COL Johnson, Wilson, Barrie, Yakupov, Andrighetto

  60. P3 7:49Shot by Bigras, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 8:53Kerfoot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone, Claesson · COL Barrie, Yakupov, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Girard

  62. P3 9:25Shot by Wideman, saved by Bernier5v4
  63. P3 9:26Shot by Burrows, saved by Bernier5v4
  64. P3 10:27Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier5v4
  65. P3 10:36Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier5v4
  66. P3 13:13Barberio: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, DiDomenico, Pageau, Ceci, Harpur · COL Barberio, Landeskog, Bigras, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  67. P3 13:23Goal by Hoffman, unassisted5v4+32 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone · COL Comeau, Johnson, Nieto, Bigras

  68. P3 14:35Shot by Ceci, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 15:04Pageau: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, DiDomenico, Pageau, Ceci, Harpur · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  70. P3 16:09Shot by Landeskog, saved by Anderson4v5
  71. P3 19:06Shot by Barrie, saved by Anderson5v6
  72. P3 19:50Shot by Girard, saved by Anderson5v6
  73. P3 19:54Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Brassard, Dzingel, Ceci · COL Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  74. P3 19:54Landeskog: Roughing (2 min)4v6

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Brassard, Dzingel, Ceci · COL Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  75. P3 19:54Burrows: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Brassard, Dzingel, Ceci · COL Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  76. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  77. P3 0:00Final4v6