Tue, Nov 14, 2017·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 3, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 011 | 211 | 15 | 327 |
| LAK | 210 | 07 | 015 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:23LAKTanner PearsonUnassisted · Snap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 3:14LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Dustin Brown, Alex Iafallo · Wrist, 0.21 xG0–2
- P2 5:10VANHenrik SedinAssists: Loui Eriksson, Derrick Pouliot · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–2
- P2 10:00VANBo HorvatPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Henrik Sedin · Backhand, 0.33 xG2–2
- P3 4:07VANSven BaertschiPPGWGAssists: Thomas Vanek, Derrick Pouliot · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 0:24LAKAndy Andreoff: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:24VANDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 1:15VANBrendan Gaunce: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:18VANBrock Boeser: Slashing2 min
- P1 12:58LAKAlec Martinez: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:02VANBrock Boeser: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:51LAKAlex Iafallo: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:36LAKDerek Forbort: Penalty shot slash on breakaway0 min
- P2 19:01VANBrendan Gaunce: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 2:18LAKAndrew Crescenzi: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 12:29VANAlexander Edler: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Kempe
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Eriksson9:23
xG 0.46–0.11 (81%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Vanek – Gagner – Granlund7:20
xG 0.18–0.15 (55%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Dorsett – Sutter – Gaunce9:14
xG 0.15–0.30 (32%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Baertschi – Horvat – Boeser9:43
xG 0.25–0.68 (27%)attempts 6–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Pouliot12:16
xG 0.29–0.11 (72%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Gudbranson – Hutton13:30
xG 0.36–0.23 (61%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Biega – Del Zotto12:46
xG 0.55–0.83 (40%)attempts 11–17goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Pearson – Kempe5:26
xG 0.38–0.09 (81%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Toffoli – Iafallo3:48
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Lewis – Andreoff – Shore10:24
xG 0.28–0.38 (42%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Laich – Crescenzi – Amadio5:20
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty3:54
xG 0.22–0.01 (95%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Martinez – Doughty2:08
xG 0.22–0.03 (88%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Forbort – Folin3:14
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).