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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 22, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh

New York Rangers 6, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 52% of the time.

CAR winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Goal by Kreider (Smith, Miller)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho · NYR Smith, Holden, Kreider, Zuccarello, Miller

  3. P1 1:00Shot by Aho, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:18Shot by Ryan, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 2:26Goal by Zibanejad (Skjei)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Nordstrom, Slavin, Pesce, Jooris, Ryan · NYR Smith, Holden, Zibanejad, Vesey, Buchnevich

  6. P1 3:50Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Darling
  7. P1 6:11Shot by Smith, saved by Darling
  8. P1 6:37Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 7:47Kreider: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan · NYR Smith, Holden, Kreider, Fast, Zibanejad, Buchnevich

  10. P1 8:23Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  11. P1 8:41Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  12. P1 8:50Goal by Aho (Teravainen, Faulk)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Lindholm, Aho · NYR Nash, Smith, Hayes, Skjei

  13. P1 9:34Shot by McGinn, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 10:03Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 10:10Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 10:26Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 10:47Goal by Carey (Vesey, Holden)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skinner, Di Giuseppe, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin · NYR Carey, Smith, Holden, Vesey, Nieves

  18. P1 10:44Shot by Holden, saved by Darling
  19. P1 10:46Shot by Vesey, saved by Darling
  20. P1 11:53Shot by Fleury, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 11:59Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 12:12Shot by Grabner, saved by Darling
  23. P1 13:21Nieves: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skinner, Di Giuseppe, Lindholm, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin · NYR Nash, Staal, Kampfer, Hayes, Fast

  24. P1 13:53Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  25. P1 13:55Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  26. P1 14:46Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  27. P1 15:09Shot by Hanifin, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  28. P1 15:34Shot by Miller, saved by Darling
  29. P1 17:21Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Darling
  30. P1 18:51Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Darling
  31. P1 19:59Shot by Aho, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:56Shot by Teravainen, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 2:00Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 4:47Shot by Vesey, saved by Darling
  37. P2 5:14Carey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skinner, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm · NYR Carey, Smith, Holden, Vesey, Nieves

  38. P2 5:35Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  39. P2 5:37Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  40. P2 5:53Shot by Williams, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  41. P2 8:27Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 14:58Carey: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Teravainen, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin, Ryan · NYR Carey, Shattenkirk, Skjei, Vesey, Nieves

  43. P2 16:07Shot by Teravainen, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  44. P2 17:26Shot by Miller, saved by Darling
  45. P2 18:15Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Darling
  46. P2 18:32Shot by Vesey, saved by Darling
  47. P2 18:49Teravainen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, van Riemsdyk, Fleury, Aho · NYR Smith, Holden, Zibanejad, Vesey, Buchnevich

  48. P2 19:03Shot by Miller, saved by Darling4v5
  49. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:20Goal by Kreider (Zuccarello, Zibanejad)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Slavin, Pesce, Lindholm · NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Buchnevich

  52. P3 0:19Shot by Kreider, saved by Darling4v5
  53. P3 0:31Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 0:32Smith: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kruger, Faulk, Nordstrom, Jooris, Fleury · NYR Nash, Smith, Holden, Hayes, Fast

  55. P3 1:39Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  56. P3 3:55Shot by Hanifin, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 4:03Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Darling
  58. P3 4:53Shot by McGinn, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 5:45Goal by Fast (Hayes, Nash)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Faulk, Skinner, Di Giuseppe, Lindholm, Hanifin · NYR Nash, Smith, Holden, Hayes, Fast

  60. P3 7:07Shot by Vesey, saved by Darling
  61. P3 9:28Shot by Vesey, saved by Darling
  62. P3 9:44Skinner: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Kruger, Skinner, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, Pesce · NYR Staal, Kampfer, Carey, Vesey, Nieves

  63. P3 10:26Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Darling4v5
  64. P3 12:26Goal by Fast (Kampfer)0 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, Pesce, Hanifin, Ryan · NYR Staal, Grabner, Kampfer, Hayes, Fast

  65. P3 15:44Shot by Kruger, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 15:49Shot by Fleury, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 15:58Shot by Jooris, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 17:53Shot by Staal, saved by Darling
  69. P3 18:06Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Darling
  70. P3 18:23Shot by Kreider, saved by Darling
  71. P3 19:09Shot by Fleury, saved by Lundqvist
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 19:59Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 0:00Final