Wed, Nov 22, 2017·Gila River Arena, Glendale
San Jose Sharks 3, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 113 | 16 | 17 | 326 |
| ARI | 09 | 010 | 18 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:42SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Brent Burns, Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
- P2 4:56SJSLogan CoutureGWGAssists: Joonas Donskoi, Justin Braun · Backhand, 0.09 xG2–0
- P3 12:23ARIBrendan PerliniAssists: Derek Stepan, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–1
- P3 19:12SJSJoel WardENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.58 xG3–1
Penalties (4)
- P1 10:49SJSLogan Couture: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 12:10SJSBrent Burns: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:20SJSJoel Ward: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:39ARIDerek Stepan: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dvorak won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Pavelski – Meier12:06
xG 0.55–0.23 (70%)attempts 10–7goals 1–1
- Couture – Donskoi – Hertl11:39
xG 0.50–0.28 (64%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Ward – Carpenter – Labanc2:50
xG 0.00–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Boedker – Tierney – O'Regan3:54
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ryan16:41
xG 0.57–0.34 (63%)attempts 16–14goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Braun16:59
xG 0.40–0.23 (63%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Burns – Dillon3:44
xG 0.22–0.06 (80%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRinaldo – Cousins – Martinook7:25
xG 0.13–0.07 (67%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Stepan – Rieder – Perlini11:38
xG 0.07–0.20 (27%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Richardson – Fischer – Keller10:10
xG 0.17–0.48 (26%)attempts 7–12goals 0–1
- Duclair – Domi – Dvorak11:03
xG 0.02–0.35 (7%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Connauton10:55
xG 0.40–0.21 (66%)attempts 14–7goals 0–1
- Hjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson2:09
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Hjalmarsson18:58
xG 0.32–0.48 (40%)attempts 15–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).