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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 24, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 91% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:34Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 3:55Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:58Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 4:29Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 4:47Hyman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  7. P1 4:59Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen5v4
  8. P1 5:22Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen5v4
  9. P1 5:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen5v4
  10. P1 5:43Shot by Komarov, saved by Ward5v4
  11. P1 6:47Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen5v4
  12. P1 6:51Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 10:18Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 10:48Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 11:15Shot by Brown, saved by Ward
  16. P1 12:40Hainsey: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  17. P1 12:48Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Ward5v4
  18. P1 13:56Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen5v4
  19. P1 16:53Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 17:20Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 17:48Ryan: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, Faulk, Skinner, Fleury, Ryan · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Soshnikov, Zaitsev

  22. P1 19:04Shot by Nylander, saved by Ward4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:53Goal by Hyman (Gardiner, Kadri)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Faulk, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Ryan · TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev

  26. P2 4:02Shot by Komarov, saved by Ward
  27. P2 4:17Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 4:26Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 4:40Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 5:04Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 6:58Shot by Kadri, saved by Ward
  32. P2 7:14Goal by Leivo (Borgman)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin, Ryan · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Leivo, Carrick, Borgman

  33. P2 10:44Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 11:18Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 11:23Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 11:37Goal by Hainsey (van Riemsdyk, Bozak)+9 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho · TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Nylander

  37. P2 12:01Shot by Gardiner, saved by Ward
  38. P2 13:34Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 13:35Goal by Ryan (Skinner, Williams)+8 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Williams, Faulk, Skinner, van Riemsdyk, Ryan · TOR Marleau, Carrick, Brown, Soshnikov, Borgman

  40. P2 13:59Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Ward
  41. P2 14:02Shot by Leivo, saved by Ward
  42. P2 14:25Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 14:52Shot by Fleury, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 14:56Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 15:59Shot by Borgman, saved by Ward
  46. P2 18:24Goal by van Riemsdyk (Nylander, Hainsey)+8 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Teravainen, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin, Aho · TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Nylander

  47. P2 19:05Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 19:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Ward
  49. P2 19:42Shot by Marleau, saved by Ward
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:29Shot by Marner, saved by Darling
  53. P3 0:40Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 1:44Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 1:52Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 1:54Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 2:16Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 2:20Shot by Fleury, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 2:40Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 3:08Goal by Staal (Faulk, Teravainen)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, Rask, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Nylander, Zaitsev

  61. P3 3:48Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 3:55Skinner: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Williams, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan · TOR Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews, Borgman

  63. P3 4:40Shot by Marner, saved by Darling4v5
  64. P3 4:43Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Darling4v5
  65. P3 5:17Shot by Leivo, saved by Darling4v5
  66. P3 5:27Goal by Marleau (Matthews, Gardiner)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: CAR McGinn, Slavin, Fleury, Ryan · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Leivo, Nylander, Matthews

  67. P3 7:12Shot by Brown, saved by Darling
  68. P3 7:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 7:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Darling
  70. P3 8:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Darling
  71. P3 9:03Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 9:09Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 9:14Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 10:06Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 13:57Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 13:58Goal by Lindholm (Hanifin, McGinn)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Faulk, Rask, McGinn, Lindholm, Hanifin · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Nylander, Zaitsev

  77. P3 13:56Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 15:26Shot by Marner, saved by Darling
  79. P3 15:49Goal by Hanifin (Skinner, Williams)+11 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Faulk, Skinner, Rask, Lindholm, Hanifin · TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  80. P3 17:42Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  81. P3 17:56Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen6v5
  82. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  83. P3 0:00Final