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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 24, 2017·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Calgary Flames 4, Dallas Stars 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 66% of the time.

DAL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Backlund, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 1:13Shot by Giordano, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 3:06Shot by Shore, saved by Smith
  6. P1 3:14Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Smith
  7. P1 3:31Shot by Faksa, saved by Smith
  8. P1 3:38Shot by Roussel, saved by Smith
  9. P1 4:10Shot by Seguin, saved by Smith
  10. P1 5:22Shot by Bennett, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 6:02Shot by Benn, saved by Smith
  12. P1 6:29Shot by Roussel, saved by Smith
  13. P1 8:19Shot by Jagr, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 9:25Shot by Brodie, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 9:50Shot by Brouwer, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 10:07Shot by Johns, saved by Smith
  17. P1 11:20Shot by Benn, saved by Smith
  18. P1 11:45Shot by Benn, saved by Smith
  19. P1 12:56Shot by Hanzal, saved by Smith
  20. P1 13:26Shot by Brouwer, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 13:38Honka: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Johns, Seguin, Ritchie, Smith, Honka · CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Hamonic, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lazar

  22. P1 14:30Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop4v5
  23. P1 14:53Shot by Jagr, saved by Bishop4v5
  24. P1 18:08Shot by Pitlick, saved by Smith
  25. P1 18:22Goal by Roussel (Pitlick)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Pateryn, Roussel, Pitlick, Faksa · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Hamilton, Monahan

  26. P1 19:52Shot by Giordano, saved by Bishop
  27. P1 19:56Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bishop
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:39Goal by Ferland (Monahan)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Radulov, Benn, Pateryn, Shore · CGY Giordano, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan

  31. P2 2:03Shot by Bennett, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 1:58Shot by Bennett, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 1:57Shot by Jankowski, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 2:30Shot by Ritchie, saved by Smith
  35. P2 2:53Goal by Gaudreau, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Pateryn, Roussel, Pitlick, Faksa · CGY Giordano, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan

  36. P2 3:46Shot by Versteeg, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 3:46Lazar: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Seguin, Klingberg, Lindell, Shore · CGY Versteeg, Frolik, Stone, Kulak, Lazar

  38. P2 3:46Lindell: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Seguin, Klingberg, Lindell, Shore · CGY Versteeg, Frolik, Stone, Kulak, Lazar

  39. P2 4:19Shot by Seguin, saved by Smith4v4
  40. P2 4:20Goal by Seguin (Janmark, Klingberg)4v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Seguin, Klingberg, Janmark · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie

  41. P2 4:52Shot by Pateryn, saved by Smith4v4
  42. P2 5:14Giordano: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Johns, Seguin, Shore, Janmark · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan

  43. P2 7:04Shot by Johns, saved by Smith5v4
  44. P2 8:21Shot by Versteeg, saved by Bishop
  45. P2 9:44Shot by Frolik, saved by Bishop
  46. P2 9:55Shot by Honka, saved by Smith
  47. P2 10:01Shot by Ritchie, saved by Smith
  48. P2 10:57Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 11:07Shot by Jagr, saved by Bishop
  50. P2 11:27Shot by Janmark, saved by Smith
  51. P2 11:37Shot by Lindell, saved by Smith
  52. P2 12:31Shot by Backlund, saved by Bishop
  53. P2 12:52Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop
  54. P2 14:29Kulak: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Hanzal, Seguin, Klingberg, Ritchie, Lindell, Smith · CGY Jagr, Versteeg, Stone, Kulak, Lazar

  55. P2 14:51Shot by Seguin, saved by Smith5v4
  56. P2 15:19Shot by Shore, saved by Smith5v4
  57. P2 15:21Shot by Seguin, saved by Smith5v4
  58. P2 15:25Shot by Hanzal, saved by Smith5v4
  59. P2 16:14Shot by Benn, saved by Smith5v4
  60. P2 17:04Shot by Roussel, saved by Smith
  61. P2 17:06Roussel: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Pateryn, Roussel, Pitlick, Faksa · CGY Frolik, Stone, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan

  62. P2 17:28Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop4v5
  63. P2 17:31Goal by Monahan (Brouwer, Gaudreau)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Hanzal, Pateryn, Janmark · CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan

  64. P2 18:29Shot by Shore, saved by Smith
  65. P2 18:30Goal by Radulov (Shore)+27 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Radulov, Klingberg, Faksa, Shore, Honka · CGY Giordano, Frolik, Hamilton, Jankowski, Bennett

  66. P2 18:35Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Smith
  67. P2 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Period start
  69. P3 1:14Shot by Backlund, saved by Bishop
  70. P3 1:25Shot by Jagr, saved by Bishop
  71. P3 1:32Shot by Jagr, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 1:35Shot by Brodie, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 1:57Shot by Seguin, saved by Smith
  74. P3 4:01Shot by Stone, saved by Bishop
  75. P3 4:05Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop
  76. P3 5:39Shot by Shore, saved by Smith
  77. P3 6:04Goal by Monahan (Gaudreau, Smith)+31 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Pateryn, Roussel, Pitlick, Faksa · CGY Stone, Ferland, Gaudreau, Kulak, Monahan

  78. P3 6:30Brodie: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Radulov, Benn, Lindell, Shore, Honka · CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Hamonic, Brodie, Lazar

  79. P3 7:05Shot by Seguin, saved by Smith5v4
  80. P3 7:10Hamonic: Delaying game (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Shore · CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Hamonic, Monahan

  81. P3 7:32Shot by Seguin, saved by Smith5v3
  82. P3 8:17Shot by Klingberg, saved by Smith5v3
  83. P3 8:22Shot by Klingberg, saved by Smith5v3
  84. P3 9:57Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop
  85. P3 10:17Shot by Shore, saved by Smith
  86. P3 11:11Shot by Bennett, saved by Bishop
  87. P3 11:44Shot by Frolik, saved by Bishop
  88. P3 12:12Goal by Smith (Ritchie)+37 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hanzal, Pateryn, Ritchie, Lindell, Smith · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Kulak

  89. P3 14:03Goal by Seguin, unassisted+33 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Pateryn, Seguin, Janmark · CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Stone, Kulak, Lazar

  90. P3 15:20Shot by Giordano, saved by Bishop
  91. P3 15:44Benn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Radulov, Benn, Pateryn, Shore · CGY Giordano, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan

  92. P3 19:00Goal by Seguin (Radulov)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Radulov, Benn, Pateryn, Seguin · CGY Giordano, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan, Tkachuk

  93. P3 19:52Shot by Kulak, saved by Bishop
  94. P3 0:00Period end
  95. P3 0:00Final