Sun, Nov 26, 2017·Madison Square Garden, New York
Vancouver Canucks 3, New York Rangers 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 111 | 17 | 111 | 03 | 2 | 332 |
| NYR | 04 | 17 | 29 | 00 | 3 | 420 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:54VANLoui ErikssonAssists: Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 7:21VANJake VirtanenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 17:40NYRJesper FastAssists: Nick Holden, Brendan Smith · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–1
- P3 0:19NYRMichael GrabnerAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Shattenkirk · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- P3 1:00VANSam GagnerAssists: Thomas Vanek · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–2
- P3 5:05NYRJimmy VeseyAssists: Rick Nash, Kevin Hayes · Backhand, 0.17 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. VAN Thomas Vanek stopped
- 2. NYR Mats Zuccarello stopped
- 3. VAN Bo Horvat stopped
- 4. NYR Mika Zibanejad stopped
- 5. VAN Brock Boeser scored
- 6. NYR Kevin Shattenkirk scored
- 7. VAN Markus Granlund stopped
- 8. NYR Pavel Buchnevich stopped
- 9. VAN Sven Baertschi scored
- 10. NYR Rick Nash scored
- 11. VAN Sam Gagner stopped
- 12. NYR J.T. Miller stopped
- 13. VAN Ben Hutton stopped
- 14. NYR Jimmy Vesey scored
Penalties (3)
- P1 12:32VANAlexander Edler: Slashing2 min
- P1 16:39NYRChris Kreider: Holding2 min
- P2 14:49VANBen Hutton: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Eriksson13:52
xG 0.92–0.36 (72%)attempts 17–6goals 1–1
- Granlund – Gaunce – Virtanen8:35
xG 0.45–0.24 (65%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Vanek – Gagner – Burmistrov6:38
xG 0.16–0.16 (50%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Baertschi – Horvat – Boeser8:51
xG 0.02–0.10 (19%)attempts 1–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Pouliot16:55
xG 0.93–0.23 (80%)attempts 20–16goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Stecher12:57
xG 0.74–0.42 (64%)attempts 14–8goals 2–2
- Tanev – Hutton16:00
xG 0.42–0.33 (56%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestNash – Hayes – Vesey6:27
xG 0.37–0.15 (71%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Buchnevich11:55
xG 0.49–0.27 (64%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Grabner – Zuccarello – Miller13:08
xG 0.44–0.39 (53%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Desharnais – Carey – Vesey6:31
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Holden14:42
xG 0.55–0.47 (54%)attempts 14–9goals 2–2
- Staal – Kampfer13:01
xG 0.22–0.39 (36%)attempts 5–13goals 0–1
- Shattenkirk – Skjei20:43
xG 0.67–1.13 (37%)attempts 19–24goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).