Tue, Nov 28, 2017·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
San Jose Sharks 3, Philadelphia Flyers 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 212 | 117 | 05 | 334 |
| PHI | 18 | 010 | 05 | 123 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:48PHIClaude GirouxAssists: Jakub Voracek, Andrew MacDonald · Snap, 0.16 xG0–1
- P1 10:29SJSChris TierneyAssists: Brent Burns, Brenden Dillon · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P1 18:42SJSJoe ThorntonPPGWGAssists: Logan Couture, Joe Pavelski · Snap, 0.09 xG2–1
- P2 16:04SJSMarc-Edouard VlasicAssists: Logan Couture, Justin Braun · Snap, 0.19 xG3–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 4:00PHIShayne Gostisbehere: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:00SJSTomas Hertl: Slashing2 min
- P1 16:51PHIWayne Simmonds: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 17:32PHIMichael Raffl: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 19:44PHIValtteri Filppula: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 4:11SJSBrent Burns: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:20PHIJakub Voracek: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:21SJSJoe Pavelski: Boarding2 min
- P2 11:02PHIWayne Simmonds: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Filppula won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Pavelski – Meier11:00
xG 0.64–0.21 (75%)attempts 14–7goals 0–1
- Ward – O'Regan – Karlsson6:24
xG 0.28–0.12 (70%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Ward – Couture – Hertl2:53
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Couture – Hertl – Karlsson2:33
xG 0.05–0.03 (67%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Dillon12:39
xG 1.10–0.56 (66%)attempts 21–8goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun16:00
xG 0.50–0.39 (56%)attempts 12–13goals 1–1
- DeMelo – Ryan9:51
xG 0.15–0.10 (60%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Voracek – Couturier9:58
xG 0.32–0.15 (68%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Filppula – Raffl – Konecny9:26
xG 0.48–0.38 (56%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Simmonds – Martel – Patrick6:38
xG 0.07–0.25 (23%)attempts 3–14goals 0–1
- Lehtera – Weise – Laughton6:42
xG 0.03–0.46 (6%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManning – Sanheim10:58
xG 0.60–0.17 (77%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Provorov2:00
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Hagg11:27
xG 0.11–0.42 (21%)attempts 5–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).