Mon, Dec 4, 2017·Capital One Arena, Washington
San Jose Sharks 1, Washington Capitals 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 08 | 18 | 09 | 125 |
| WSH | 110 | 27 | 112 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:49WSHDevante Smith-PellyAssists: John Carlson, Jay Beagle · Tip-in, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 7:11WSHAlex OvechkinGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 11:32SJSTimo MeierAssists: Justin Braun · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 19:08WSHBrett ConnollyPPAssists: Alex Ovechkin, Evgeny Kuznetsov · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–3
- P3 11:36WSHJakub VranaPPAssists: Tom Wilson, Dmitry Orlov · Wrist, 0.37 xG1–4
Penalties (19)
- P2 14:43WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 18:00SJSBrenden Dillon: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:08SJSDanny O'Regan: Delaying game bench2 min
- P3 2:14WSHTom Wilson: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:14SJSJoe Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:14WSHTom Wilson: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 2:14SJSJoe Thornton: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 3:05WSHBrooks Orpik: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:05SJSTimo Meier: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:38SJSBarclay Goodrow: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:38WSHAlex Chiasson: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:38SJSBarclay Goodrow: Fighting5 min
- P3 11:36SJSJustin Braun: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:51SJSBrenden Dillon: Elbowing2 min
- P3 19:01WSHJay Beagle: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:01SJSTimo Meier: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:55SJSBrenden Dillon: Slashing5 min
- P3 19:55SJSBrenden Dillon: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 19:55WSHMadison Bowey: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Tierney won the faceoff against Eller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Hertl – Labanc8:43
xG 0.94–0.18 (84%)attempts 19–6goals 0–1
- Hansen – Goodrow – O'Regan5:13
xG 0.11–0.03 (82%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Meier8:47
xG 0.31–0.28 (52%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Hansen – Sorensen – O'Regan2:04
xG 0.08–0.12 (39%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeMelo – Ryan9:37
xG 0.56–0.37 (60%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun12:42
xG 0.63–0.62 (51%)attempts 15–14goals 1–1
- Burns – Dillon16:05
xG 0.28–0.66 (29%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestOvechkin – Backstrom – Wilson10:15
xG 0.79–0.22 (78%)attempts 11–6goals 1–1
- Oshie – Kuznetsov – Vrana7:28
xG 0.08–0.08 (50%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Beagle – Chiasson – Smith-Pelly7:52
xG 0.11–0.24 (31%)attempts 6–9goals 1–0
- Eller – Connolly – Boyd7:08
xG 0.19–0.56 (25%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCarlson – Djoos7:33
xG 0.41–0.14 (75%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Orpik – Carlson7:21
xG 0.58–0.32 (64%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Orpik – Bowey6:37
xG 0.22–0.05 (81%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).