Mon, Dec 18, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
Anaheim Ducks 3, New Jersey Devils 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 26 | 110 | 08 | 324 |
| NJD | 07 | 215 | 312 | 534 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:44ANARyan GetzlafAssists: Rickard Rakell, Josh Manson · Snap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 10:30ANAJakob SilfverbergAssists: Andrew Cogliano, Adam Henrique · Snap, 0.13 xG2–0
- P2 8:11NJDMiles WoodPPAssists: Sami Vatanen, Jesper Bratt · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 11:21ANAAdam HenriqueAssists: Josh Manson · Backhand, 0.10 xG3–1
- P2 18:16NJDMiles WoodAssists: Pavel Zacha · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–2
- P3 5:49NJDJesper BrattAssists: Blake Coleman, Brian Boyle · Snap, 0.04 xG3–3
- P3 15:53NJDStefan NoesenGWGAssists: Brian Boyle, Andy Greene · Snap, 0.24 xG3–4
- P3 19:53NJDStefan NoesenENAssists: Brian Boyle · Wrist, 0.64 xG3–5
Penalties (4)
- P2 6:29ANAJosh Manson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 9:18ANAHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min
- P3 3:36NJDJesper Bratt: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:02NJDBlake Coleman: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Rakell – Roy11:56
xG 0.18–0.10 (64%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Grant – Shaw – Ritchie8:23
xG 0.24–0.28 (46%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Vermette – Wagner – Kase10:48
xG 0.06–0.31 (17%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
- Cogliano – Henrique – Silfverberg13:04
xG 0.43–0.83 (34%)attempts 12–15goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Lindholm15:40
xG 0.58–0.52 (53%)attempts 18–11goals 1–0
- Bieksa – Montour14:33
xG 0.23–0.23 (50%)attempts 10–7goals 1–1
- Fowler – Welinski15:22
xG 0.42–0.54 (44%)attempts 12–18goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBoyle – Coleman – Noesen3:36
xG 0.46–0.02 (95%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Hall – Bratt – Hischier3:51
xG 0.23–0.04 (84%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Zajac – Gibbons – Bratt2:42
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Zajac – Palmieri – Gibbons3:13
xG 0.08–0.02 (80%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Vatanen15:22
xG 0.69–0.17 (80%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Greene – Santini14:10
xG 0.78–0.30 (72%)attempts 16–11goals 2–1
- Severson – Butcher14:06
xG 0.30–0.57 (35%)attempts 8–16goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).