Thu, Dec 21, 2017·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 4, San Jose Sharks 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 110 | 219 | 19 | 02 | 440 |
| SJS | 111 | 38 | 012 | 11 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:58VANBrendan GaunceAssists: Erik Gudbranson, Jake Virtanen · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 11:52SJSJoe ThorntonPPAssists: Kevin Labanc, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 5:20SJSTimo MeierAssists: Dylan DeMelo, Kevin Labanc · Snap, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 6:29SJSJoe ThorntonPPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Kevin Labanc · Slap, 0.06 xG1–3
- P2 8:49VANJake VirtanenAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Alex Biega · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–3
- P2 16:02VANBrock BoeserAssists: Alex Biega, Sam Gagner · Backhand, 0.09 xG3–3
- P2 18:56SJSTomas HertlPPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–4
- P3 2:09VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin, Loui Eriksson · Slap, 0.04 xG4–4
- OT 1:53SJSKevin LabancGWGAssists: Tomas Hertl · Slap, 0.18 xG4–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 3:46SJSDanny O'Regan: Holding2 min
- P1 11:40VANNic Dowd: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:08SJSDylan DeMelo: Interference2 min
- P1 16:01SJSTimo Meier: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:40SJSJannik Hansen: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:40VANSam Gagner: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:07VANThomas Vanek: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 7:14SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 8:36VANAlexander Edler: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 17:40VANDerrick Pouliot: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 17:40VANNic Dowd: Delaying game face off violation2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dowd won the faceoff against Tierney
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestVanek – Gagner – Boeser10:29
xG 0.48–0.33 (59%)attempts 10–14goals 1–0
- Burmistrov – Boucher – Granlund3:23
xG 0.07–0.04 (61%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Eriksson11:51
xG 0.39–0.48 (45%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Dowd – Gaunce – Virtanen12:37
xG 0.67–0.78 (46%)attempts 14–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Biega9:46
xG 0.39–0.30 (57%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Edler – Stecher6:05
xG 0.28–0.20 (59%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Pouliot6:40
xG 0.27–0.26 (51%)attempts 6–7goals 1–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestDonskoi – Tierney – Meier11:19
xG 0.94–0.33 (74%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Thornton – Pavelski – Hansen11:12
xG 0.45–0.31 (59%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Boedker – Sorensen – O'Regan4:09
xG 0.07–0.08 (46%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Hertl – Karlsson – Labanc9:27
xG 0.36–0.65 (35%)attempts 14–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun15:45
xG 1.05–0.43 (71%)attempts 16–18goals 0–0
- Heed – DeMelo6:39
xG 0.69–0.16 (81%)attempts 15–6goals 1–0
- Burns – Vlasic2:46
xG 0.01–0.05 (20%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).